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Bayesian Yacht Sinks; Connected Man Run Over By Car: A Working Coincidence
Posted inStatistics

Bayesian Yacht Sinks; Connected Man Run Over By Car: A Working Coincidence

So a 184-foot yacht named Bayesian sank while anchored in a freak windstorm off Sicily. Its billionaire owner now sleeps with the fishes. The name of the boat naturally brings…
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ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say
Posted inPhilosophy

ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say

We covered this before, but there are indications our All Models chant is not effective, or is not believed. Here is another attempt at showing it is true. So, all…
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On Various New Values Of P(Doom)
Posted inStatistics

On Various New Values Of P(Doom)

Two items over the past week revealed many who are pretty sure the End is Nigh. The Doomsday Clock clicked forward, and certain AI celebrities were caught wringing their hands.…
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Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science
Posted inStatistics

Dutch Regime To Seize Private Land Because Of Faux Nitrogen Crisis – A Brutal Example Of The Science

Listen to the podcast on YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. Today's podcast has a lot more material than the written post, because, mainly, I was livid over this land grab. It's…
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Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry
Posted inStatistics

Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) The Infamous Coin Flipping Machine! Link to…
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Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
Posted inStatistics

Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters

Most forget their parameterized models are ad hoc, and so fret about how to put uncertainty on the parameters. Hence the cheerful reception of De Finetti's representation theory. WARNING for…
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Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…
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That New Intermittent-Fasting-Is-Deadly Study Is Not So Hot
Posted inStatistics

That New Intermittent-Fasting-Is-Deadly Study Is Not So Hot

This post will also run at the Broken Science Initiative site later today. A new study came out that claimed intermittent fasting is bad for you. This shocked a lot…
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    I'm afraid this study -- from the Bad Old Days of 2008 -- very probably suffers from the now, sadly,…

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