Posted inFun
Top Ten Posts Of 2022
The day after Christmas is traditionally a slow one at the blog, so instead of posting something new that might get lost, lets review this past year. Well also this…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Frequency Interpretation Of Probability Is False: Some Reasons Contra von Mises
What is the chance that "Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential election"? Impossible to say, says Richard von Mises, because the event is singular and must be embedded in an…
Posted inStatistics
Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)
Here in this Fun Fourth run up are some puzzles to tease out your "IQ". Only those with high "IQ"s will get them, so beware! Try them all first before…
Posted inClass
Class 4: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science: The Return of Logic
Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble This week I really could have benefited from seeing people's reactions. Ah, well. HOMEWORK It is true that "If p then…
Posted inBook review
Science After Babel by David Berlinski Reviewed
David Berlinski is one of our best critics of the neo-Darwinian theory of evolution. He spends some time on this in his new book, which is a collection of pieces…
Posted inStatistics
Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?
We did Newcomb's Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would be fun to revisit, because I had some new ideas…
Posted inCulture
How Zealots Rise To The Top: Global Warming & Transanity Examples
The main reason you can be assured global warming of doom, a.k.a. climate change, is yet another slow-burn moral panic is that scientists in charge of its theory can never,…
Posted inStatistics
Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland
This piece ran originally at The American Catholic, but Kurland graciously allowed us to re-run it here. It is a topic of deep interest for us. INTRODUCTION We keep reading…
