This is it. We have reached our one true purpose: understanding cause. Cause is much richer than ordinarily thought in science. But it is everything. Today we begin one of…

I remind you, yet again, that all models only say what they are told to say. A bland truism. Unless you forget it. Let's now look at two "climate change"…

Chant this until it becomes part of your soul: There is no such thing as unconditional probability. Once you have that, endless "problems" people have "discovered" about probability vanish. Today…

Most heard the news there is a 2.4% chance a giant rock from space bringing something like an 8 Megaton blast might whack us in 2032. But I was interested…

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…

This is my story. You will have yours, which we'd like to hear below. Back in 2016, Roger Kimball organized the Scholars and Writers for America in support of Trump's…

Two items over the past week revealed many who are pretty sure the End is Nigh. The Doomsday Clock clicked forward, and certain AI celebrities were caught wringing their hands.…

You'll do yourself, and the world, a tremendous service when every time you see or hear "AI" you substitute "computer model". This is because "AI", so-called artificial intelligence, is a…