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On The Limitations of AI: Predictions
Posted inStatistics

On The Limitations of AI: Predictions

This is on the philosophy (not mechanics) of the predictive limitations of so-called artificial intelligence models. AI is no different than other models in principle, being only statements which connect…
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Canada’s Science Coronadoom Model Discovers Canada’s Science Saved 800 Thousand Lives
Posted inStatistics

Canada’s Science Coronadoom Model Discovers Canada’s Science Saved 800 Thousand Lives

Repeat after me: all models only say what they are told to say. Here it is, right from the hole of Theresa Tam (you recall it was that Canadian official's…
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All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

All Those Warnings About Models Are True: Researchers Given Same Data Come To Huge Number Of Conflicting Findings

Seventy-some researcher groups were given identical data, and asked to investigate an identical question. The groups did not communicate. Details are in the paper "Observing Many Researchers Using the Same…
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Time To End Bad Science Like This
Posted inStatistics

Time To End Bad Science Like This

I remind you, yet again, that all models only say what they are told to say. A bland truism. Unless you forget it. Let's now look at two "climate change"…
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Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)
Posted inStatistics

Putting The Stargate AI Hype Into Perspective (Stream)

You'll do yourself, and the world, a tremendous service when every time you see or hear "AI" you substitute "computer model". This is because "AI", so-called artificial intelligence, is a…
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Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity
Posted inStatistics

Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…
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Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis
Posted inStatistics

Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis

Dear reader, this will be a tad difficult, but I urge you to plow through as best you can, because this is becoming "a thing" in some areas. I stripped…
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Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes
Posted inStatistics

Class 35: The Grand Scheme: All Of Probability & Uncertainty In 30 Minutes

Here my friends is the whole of probability and uncertainty, in highlight form. A quick overview of where we have been, what we're doing, and where we're going. All can…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    What Uncle Mike said.

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    All that wasted ink; One can only pity those poor cephalopods, harvested to produce it. Save The Squids!

  3. Uncle Mike on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    The Senate is a bane to America. They are the worst institution of government, sinking even lower than the House.…

  4. spetzer86 on Funding Increases To Foster Even More Cheating In ScienceAugust 13, 2025

    I don't often see log scales applied to graphs outside of research articles. A lot of people don't understand them.…

  5. spetzer86 on Compulsory Moral Bioenhancement Should Be Covert Says Academic Who Says Ticks Should Be Genetically Modified To Stop You Eating MeatAugust 13, 2025

    Climate change is another field where morality can have a very flexible meaning: https://www.npr.org/2012/02/22/147263862/climate-scientist-admits-to-lying-leaking-documents

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