Search Results for “model” – Page 63

The Only Thing That Has Fat Tails Are Rappers: More On The PP Fallacy

Evidence for an event cannot be the horrific consequences of that event. Suppose we're interested in the probability of a Y = "Horrific plague". Since nothing has a probability, we…

Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…

Culture Statistics

Nature Advocates Using Children To Propagandize Parents

Nature magazine has published the article "Ignorant children should be used to propagandize their more knowledgeable parents." I might have got the title wrong (click link for actual), but it's…

Culture

Ladies’ STEM Research: How Physics WILL Be Redefined

Back in the late 1960s and into the 1970s, universities were desirous of increasing the number of non-males on their faculties. They didn't have to do this, but the leadership…

Culture Philosophy

A Flood Of Evidence: From God To Noah To Hume To Nobody

Here are remarks on "Enlightenment & Sacrifice -- Remarks on Joseph de Maistre" by Thomas Bertonneau, which I urge you to read in full. Bertonneau is reading de Maistre's Elucidation…

Culture

That Open Letter On BLM From The Berkeley History Professor

The anonymous letter, which can be regarded as in the public domain (it's been fully tweeted, line by line, for instance), is from a purported History Professor "of color" (she…

Class Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Survival Analysis

Query: now that I'm a video master, would people like videos of these lessons? I don't see how they'd help much, but who knows. Let me know below or via…

Statistics

New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof

Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…

C-Marie on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 15, 2025
I do not have a clue, but I am sooo impressed with so many replies and amazing understanding! God bless,…
houska on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 14, 2025
Here's some bad think from MIT and Princeton: "PHYSICS DEMONSTRATES THAT INCREASING GREENHOUSE GASES CANNOT CAUSE DANGEROUS WARMING, EXTREME WEATHER…
Scott Locklin on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 14, 2025
Well I could mention nutrition and exercise science. Also drug discovery. I'm not sure statins actually help anybody, but I…
Sigmund Fraud on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 14, 2025
Psychology followed closely by Sociology. They are pretty neck and neck for the top sketchy positions.
hudbwu on Reader Opinion Requested: What Science Do You Find Sketchy, Exaggerated Or Wrong?July 14, 2025
Recently, I was interested in religious observance in Europe, both west and east. It's surprisingly difficult to find good numbers…