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On Excess Deaths & Covid: Could Vaccines Be Upping Totals? — Coronavirus Update CIII
Posted inStatistics

On Excess Deaths & Covid: Could Vaccines Be Upping Totals? — Coronavirus Update CIII

This week I thought it would be fun to focus on Expert over-certainty, hubris, and absurdity. And, of course, theirs and rulers' bloodthirstyness. But before all that, a serious analysis…
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Vaccine Efficiency Much Poorer In Real Life Than Promised In Clinical Trials — Coronavirus Update CII
Posted inStatistics

Vaccine Efficiency Much Poorer In Real Life Than Promised In Clinical Trials — Coronavirus Update CII

STUPENDOUS VIDEO (If the above video breaks, here's an alternate source.) Thanks to Ann Cherry and RA for the tip. Regular readers will know this is what we predicted back…
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Science, Like The Internet, Was Too Good To Last: How Cancel Culture Happens
Posted inStatistics

Science, Like The Internet, Was Too Good To Last: How Cancel Culture Happens

Anybody over thirty will remember the Wild West internet of the late 90s and oughts. You could say anything, see anything, do anything. It was great. It was a manly…
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As Predicted, Vexxine Efficacy Shrinks Once Out Of The Hands Of Pharmaceuticals
Posted inStatistics

As Predicted, Vexxine Efficacy Shrinks Once Out Of The Hands Of Pharmaceuticals

Part The First: Observations How good is the Pfizer vex in practice? Ask them---or any Expert or ruler---and they will say...well, let's not ask them what they would say. It…
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More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

More Proof Hypothesis Testing Is Wrong & Why The Predictive Method Is The Only Sane Way To Do Statistics

Here it is, friends, the one complete universal simple function, the only function you will ever need to fit any---I said any---dataset x. And all it takes is one---I said…
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Rare Week Of Good News, And Some Bad — Coronavirus Update XCIV
Posted inStatistics

Rare Week Of Good News, And Some Bad — Coronavirus Update XCIV

JOY IN THE STREETS If not joy, then at least some broad grins. This is the first week, in the nearly 100 we have been tracking, in which we have…
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Capitalism Is Dead: Long Live The Expertocracy. Burnham’s <em>The Managerial Revolution</em> at 80
Posted inBook review Culture

Capitalism Is Dead: Long Live The Expertocracy. Burnham’s The Managerial Revolution at 80

James Burnham wrote The Managerial Revolution: What Is Happening in the World in 1941 to argue that capitalism was waning and being replaced everywhere by managerialism. He was right. The…
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That Bangladesh Mask Study Shows AT BEST A Population Seroprevalence Reduction Of 0.0026%, And Likely Smaller: Plus Four New Studies Showing Mask Mandates Are Useless
Posted inStatistics

That Bangladesh Mask Study Shows AT BEST A Population Seroprevalence Reduction Of 0.0026%, And Likely Smaller: Plus Four New Studies Showing Mask Mandates Are Useless

Some warm-up exercises, then we review the Bangladeshi paper. But first a reminder: I have no burden, no burden whatsoever, not even in the least degree, to prove mask mandates…
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  1. C-Marie on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 24, 2026

    God bless you, dear Matt, and all yours, all the days, and thank you for your faithfulness to our Father,…

  2. spaceranger on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    Two things I can never figure out are UFO pictures and police body cam videos.

  3. Dave Narby on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    There's been some pretty clear ones lately, at least to the resolution of the camera used, e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pcEEXLOORLI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6zkZ3x1T0QU This…

  4. James on Why There Are (Probably) No UFOs: “Climate Change”May 22, 2026

    The same logic applies to the phenomenon of "ball lightning". It sounds credible, but there are no photos of it…

  5. Uncle Mike on Blessed Memorial Day; No Class; See You WednesdayMay 21, 2026

    Please enjoy your well-earned respite. Warmth is indeed a boon and blessing -- it's in the eighties here today and…

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