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William M. Briggs

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Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question
Posted inClass Statistics

Probability Thought Experiment With NNT: Reader Question

From reader Ernst, this interesting probability/statistics question. First, NNT = number needed to treat, which is, stealing from this site to save time, "The Number Needed to Treat (NNT) is…
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Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners
Posted inStatistics

Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners

Today's post title is stolen from a paper by the same name "Cohort Increases In Sex With Same-Sex Partners: Do Trends Vary by Gender, Race, and Class?" in Gender &…
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Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores
Posted inStatistics

Over-Certainty of Polygenic Scores

This is really a Part I of a series of articles about the latest trend (fad?) in statistical biology, but I didn't want to label it that way, which would…
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On Cause In Probability Models
Posted inStatistics

On Cause In Probability Models

Note This post originally ran 11 June 2019 under the title "When Cause Is Not A Cause -- Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The post itself is extracted and modified from this…
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Blog Year In Review: Top 10 Reader & My Favorites
Posted inFun

Blog Year In Review: Top 10 Reader & My Favorites

Tune in tomorrow to make your 2020 predictions! Results for 2019 coming Thursday. Reader Favorites Here were the Top 10 reader favorite posts of 2019, in which the numbers surprised…
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Science Retracts Paper That Claimed Black Babies Born Smaller Because Of Police Violence
Posted inStatistics

Science Retracts Paper That Claimed Black Babies Born Smaller Because Of Police Violence

See this peer-reviewed, but then-retracted, paper "Police violence and the health of black infants" by some person calling his- or herself Joscha Legewie? After it was peer reviewed by knowledgeable…
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Nature Claims Cognitive Performance Declines After Being Exposed To A Candles
Posted inStatistics

Nature Claims Cognitive Performance Declines After Being Exposed To A Candles

I used to review these papers in the hopes people would understand the old ways of doing statistics, in particular experiments on human subjects, were guaranteed to produce over-certainty. I…
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Brain Scientist Thinks Their Brains Are Out To Kill Them And Get Away With It
Posted inStatistics

Brain Scientist Thinks Their Brains Are Out To Kill Them And Get Away With It

The peer-reviewed paper by Messrs Dor-Ziderman, Lutz, and Goldstein is in NeuroImage (the journal went with the hip no space) "Prediction-based neural mechanisms for shielding the self from existential threat".…
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  1. Ray on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 12, 2026

    Remember the old song by Morris Albert? Feelings Nothing more than feelings Trying to forget my Feelings of love ETC.

  2. John M on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    Yes, Happy Veterans Day from Petty Officer First Class John. I look forward to the book! I enjoyed the first.

  3. Bill Hankel on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    An impressive list that I shall look forward to reading when my wife (or son) buys it for me for…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Pre-Order Everything You Believe Is Wrong (2nd edition)November 11, 2026

    Yes, time to stock up on necessities.

  5. Cary Cotterman on Science Is Becoming FeelingsNovember 9, 2026

    I'm still laughing about "Debolina".

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