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Posted inBook review Statistics

Preface to Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book's official…
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Posted inStatistics

The Hierarchy Of Models: From Causal (Best) To Statistical (Worst)

There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…
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Posted inStatistics

Cluster Failure: Biggest ‘I Told You So’ Yet. fMRI Stinks

As reader Nate Winchester surmised, today, the biggest I Told You So Yet. Headline: "MRI software bugs could upend years of research: This is what your brain looks like on…
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Posted inStatistics

Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!

It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update

Quoting from a post on vampires, "In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called 'Bayesian priors' or just 'priors'), and then you 'update' them as you receive new…
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Posted inStatistics

Brits Psychologists Cry “BS!” Over Research Practices. Or, Die P-Value, Die Die Die

In The British Psychological Society's official organ The Psychologist, two gents Tom Farsides and Paul Sparks, call BS on standard research practices. There is a worrying amount of outright fraud…
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Posted inStatistics

Do People Really Believe In Chance & The Deadly Sin of Reification?

From our very own JMJ, who asked this in response to an announcement of my new book (read this first): Briggs, how many people how you encountered who need these…
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  1. Richard on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 9, 2026

    My son-in-law calls these "cosmic coincidences". We share with each other "interesting" or "unusual" ones we've each experienced. Of course,…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on A Synchronicity Or Coincidence? What Is Behind Curious Events?March 9, 2026

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    I believe that the anger which creeps into conversations about whether or not AI can become sentiment has nothing to…

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    I agree with the paper test; like the Chinese room argument, it is a way to illustrate that a mechanical…

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