Search Results for “p-values” – Page 31

The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models

I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…

Book review Statistics

Preface to Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book's official…

Statistics

The Hierarchy Of Models: From Causal (Best) To Statistical (Worst)

There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of…

Philosophy Statistics

Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!

This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…

Statistics

Cluster Failure: Biggest ‘I Told You So’ Yet. fMRI Stinks

As reader Nate Winchester surmised, today, the biggest I Told You So Yet. Headline: "MRI software bugs could upend years of research: This is what your brain looks like on…

Statistics

Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!

It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…

Philosophy Statistics

The Bayesian Metaphor Can Do More Harm Than Good: Update

Quoting from a post on vampires, "In Bayesian inference, you start with some initial beliefs (called 'Bayesian priors' or just 'priors'), and then you 'update' them as you receive new…

Statistics

Brits Psychologists Cry “BS!” Over Research Practices. Or, Die P-Value, Die Die Die

In The British Psychological Society's official organ The Psychologist, two gents Tom Farsides and Paul Sparks, call BS on standard research practices. There is a worrying amount of outright fraud…

Alistair on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 19, 2026
Google Scholar's result counts are extremely broad estimates and highly opaque. It's not a reliable or reproducible method assessing topical…
A 7 Eleven Customer Got the Perfect Receipt and Saved It Forever He Spent $7.11 at 7-Eleven at Exactly 7:11 PM on 7/11. What He Did With the Receipt Makes It Even Better on $7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?August 19, 2026
[…] that annotates viral images posted the story on July 23, 2026. It described the customer paying $7.11 at 7-Eleven…
McChuck on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 18, 2026
The number of new climate change papers is proportional to USAID funding and inversely proportional to the number of new…
Cary Cotterman on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026
I'm not worried about "climate change" or "covid". I'm worried about what BS the money-hungry and power-hungry, and the useful…
Tars Tarkas on We Passed Peak “Climate Change” (um) ResearchAugust 17, 2026
"The graph is not normalized by number of scientists. In 1960, there were far fewer scientists than there are now.…