Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Falsifiability Is Not That Useful
False is not True We spoke earlier of falsification and why I didn't think it was an especially useful criterion. My tweets about it inspired Deborah Mayo, who advocates for…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Is Most Published Research Wrong? Yep. Here’s Why
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=42QuXLucH3Q One of my students---my heart soars like a hawk!---sent me the video linked above. I'll assume you've watched it, as my comments make reference to it. About the dismal…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Difference Between Essential And Empirical Models
I was having a back-and-forth with a colleague on modeling types (see this post for a modeling hierarchy) and falsifiability. It's crucial we distinguish essential and empirical models, but first…
Posted inBook review Statistics
Preface to Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics
The book is now at a 15% discount at Amazon (I apologize for the price). Buy today. And buy again tomorrow! This will be linked permanently on the book's official…
Posted inStatistics
The Hierarchy Of Models: From Causal (Best) To Statistical (Worst)
There is a hierarchy of models in the sense they offer insight into the thing modeled. The order of importance is: causal, deterministic, probabilistic, statistical. Most models use mixtures of…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Uncertainty (#1 New Release in Statistics) Book Page — Here Are The Details. Update!
This isn't the book page. This is. Or you can buy it here. The page is permanently located at the menu bar at the top of the page, at the…
Posted inStatistics
Cluster Failure: Biggest ‘I Told You So’ Yet. fMRI Stinks
As reader Nate Winchester surmised, today, the biggest I Told You So Yet. Headline: "MRI software bugs could upend years of research: This is what your brain looks like on…
Posted inStatistics
Number 1 Book In Epistemology & In Logic! Get It While It’s Hot!
It's probably gone by now, but for a little while my new book, Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics, was "#1 New Release in Epistemology" then "#1 New…