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Researchers: Living Under The Sin-Of-Pride Flag Produces Flashbacks To Noah’s Flood
Posted inStatistics

Researchers: Living Under The Sin-Of-Pride Flag Produces Flashbacks To Noah’s Flood

Read this The Science sentence with me and see if you enjoy it as much as I did: "Long before climate change, California’s Great Flood of 1862 stretched up to…
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The Disparagement Of Epidemiology
Posted inStatistics

The Disparagement Of Epidemiology

I was having an argument with a friend who was on his way to a conference to point out the shortcomings and over-confidence of Evidence Based Medicine (EBM). With EBM,…
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The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate
Posted inStatistics

The Less You Know About Climate, The More You Cry About Climate

Some things, the saying goes, are too good to check. Take the peer-reviewed paper "Environmental knowledge is inversely associated with climate change anxiety" by Hannes Zacher and Cort W. Rudolph…
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The Case For Ending Government Funding of Science
Posted inStatistics

The Case For Ending Government Funding of Science

Direct government funding of science has to end. Here is why, and what should replace it. Some are making a big deal of a new paper in which "researchers found…
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Report On First Public Broken Science Event
Posted inStatistics

Report On First Public Broken Science Event

A terrific success. That's what the first public Broken Science event was in Phoenix last Saturday. Standing room only. A sell-out plus. The talks aren't online yet (as of Sunday…
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Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?
Posted inStatistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…
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Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real
Posted inPhilosophy

Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real

Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or…
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Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Why Dembski’s Design Inference (Of Causation) Goes Wrong

Probability does not exist; therefore, nothing has a probability, so nothing can be caused by probability, though the uncertainty of statements can be had conditional on assumptions, and this probability…
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  1. Paul Murphy on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    hey doc Steven Hayward's substack post on "Pope Bob" https://stevehayward.substack.com/p/pope-bob includes an image and summary of a book on "evaluative…

  2. JH on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Probability is defined on a sigma field. But what exactly is a sigma field? In simpler terms, it represents the…

  3. Johnno on Miracle Or Coincidence? What Are The Chances?May 9, 2025

    What are the political leanings of the naturally elotrocuted, and can we use them for our cause, or does their…

  4. Paul Fischer on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    Always thought-provoking, William. The comments section’s a bit hostile today. To really grasp what Matt is driving at, you have…

  5. Briggs on Class 49: Relevance & Importance Of Evidence In ModelsMay 9, 2025

    JH, My IQ is simplicity itself to estimate. I have no IQ. Pick up any stats books and look under…

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