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The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2
Posted inStatistics

The Charlie Kirk Killing Theories: The (Non)-Mathematics Of Conspiracy Theories 2

There is a point about bad science at the end. I didn't count, but I think it was less than 48, and surely less than 72, hours after Charlie Kirk…
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Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This
Posted inStatistics

Class 65: A Last Plea Never To Use Or Trust Statistical Evidence Like This

My last attempt to you convince you to think logically about evidence and reject P-values. Video https://youtu.be/Jj8MIUmzQzU Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble * Bitchute * Class Page…
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Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters
Posted inStatistics

Class 64: No Confidence (Interval) In Parameters

Many think confidence intervals are an improvement over P-values. Not really, no. There is no one alive, or dead, who interprets a confidence interval as theory demands. All (as in…
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Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee
Posted inStatistics

Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is Wee

It would be a good joke to conclude "If Pr(Data we didn't see | Cause false) is small then Cause is true", but it isn't. People believe it. Peers review…
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Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!
Posted inStatistics

Class 62: Die P-value, Die! Die! Die!

We want Pr(H|Evidence), we get Pr(Data we didn't see | H false). And then everybody pretends they are the same. Why why why. Video https://youtu.be/WIZN3BesJps Links: YouTube * Twitter -…
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Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure
Posted inStatistics

Research: Solar Activity Causes High Blood Pressure

In the Class, which I know all readers are dutifully following, bless you, I often cite Tyler Vigen's Spurious Correlations site. It is a glorious (growing) compendium of ridiculous results…
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Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II
Posted inStatistics

Class 61: Does This Guy Have ESP? II

Hypothesis testing has told us what probably isn't true. It can't see all evidence. Here's how to do it right. Video https://youtu.be/5yoRSQMWle4 Links: YouTube * Twitter - X * Rumble…
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Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Class 58: Hypothesis Testing Is All Wrong

We want Pr(Hypothesis true|Evidence) but get Pr(Data we didn't see | Hypothesis false). This makes no sense, but I promise that is what is done. My friends, it gets real…
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