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William M. Briggs

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Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say Academics
Posted inStatistics

Believing In God Makes You Crave Potato Chips, Say Academics

Next time you slide a Pringle over your tonsils, blame God. It was your unhealthy attitude to religion that made you crave that Oreo. Your inability to think proper thoughts…
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Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!
Posted inStatistics

Musk Doges Deaths: Researchers Say USAID Absence Kills Kills Kills!

Some fellow who got rich once he was in office, Ro Khana, claims Elon Musk, who got rich outside office, is responsible for some preposterous number of deaths, something into…
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Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC
Posted inStatistics

Class 91: Try Not To Use the ROC Curve & AUC

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…
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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness
Posted inStatistics

Class 84: Most Important Measure of Model Goodness

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
Posted inStatistics

FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability

The FDA should have gone probability. But they came close. They went Bayes. So announced FDA boss Marty Makar last week. Here's the document "Use of Bayesian Methodology in Clinical…
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Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Posted inStatistics

Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes

Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
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Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
Posted inStatistics

Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice

This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
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  1. NLR on Against Numerology: Some Basic CalculationsOctober 19, 2026

    The mathematician Richard Guy wrote a paper "The strong law of small numbers", where he said, facetiously, but also serirously:…

  2. aGrimm on Book UpdateOctober 16, 2026

    I'm looking forward to the book; warts and all the first was enlightening and fun to read.

  3. John Pate on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    I'm a big fan of LaTeX. I wrote a class package that made it into one or more of the…

  4. Ursula on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    i have your first edition which I read, pencil in hand foor the typos. Loved it anyway! Will be buying…

  5. Brian (buaoren) on Book UpdateOctober 14, 2026

    Hello again, friend Briggs How colloquial is your French? Please allow me to be te first to wish you; Merde!

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