Posted inStatistics
Class 36: Paradox Lost
From time to time people come across what seems like paradoxes which invalidate probability (as logic). These are excellent devices to sharpen thought, but they all suffer from one of…
Posted inStatistics
Probability Puzzle Paradox: Which Boxes To Take?
We did Newcomb's Paradox (so called) years ago, and a twist in premises after that. But I thought it would be fun to revisit, because I had some new ideas…
Posted inStatistics
Killing A Paradox: The Two Envelopes
Class proper will resume after Labor Day on 9 September. Link to all Classes. Jaynes's book (first part): Video https://videopress.com/v/neIxNeEL?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so…
Posted inStatistics
Die Sweetly: The Strange Paradoxes Of The Cult Of Safety First!
The Cult of Safety First! has what only appears to be contradictory, paradoxical beliefs. This is important because its members throughout the West have infiltrated all institutions of power, including…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Bertrand’s Paradox — Solved!
Anon sent a question about Bertrand's Paradox. The paradox is supposed to show something has gone wrong with our thinking in probability. And it has, but not in the way…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
A Twist In A Solution To Newcomb’s Paradox
Let's take a break from the insanity and wade into cool waters to start the weekend. I'll take it that you've watched this video, which purports to give a solution…
Posted inCulture
The Meat Paradox Makes You Want To Slap Vegans: Expert
Here's a needless headline: The hidden biases that drive anti-vegan hatred. There are nothing hidden about the bias against vegans. People love to moan that vegans are annoying: research has…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
All Of The Supposed Paradoxes About The Principle Of Indifference Are Bogus
Here is an example of a supposed paradox caused by using Keyne's Principle of Indifference, which Stove and others (and myself) call the Statistical Syllogism (itself deduced from the symmetry…