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Posted inStatistics

Boris Says Be A Girl For Great Reset; CDC Counts Vaccinated Differently; Kentucky Court Victory; The New HCQ Paper; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXV

JUICING NUMBERS https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1402708260344500226 He who controls the data controls The Science™ (I repeat myself.) WE TOLD YOU SO I don't like recommending long videos, and rarely do it. I recommend…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
Posted inStatistics

The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
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Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests
Posted inStatistics

Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests

This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…
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Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Classical Statistics Has Outlived Its Usefulness: Here’s The Fix

A PDF of this article may be downloaded here. This article is a precis of Uncertainty. Opening Act Patient walks into the doctor and says, "Doc, I saw that new…
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The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It
Posted inClass Statistics

The Danish Mask Study Shows Masks Aren’t Worth It

HUFFIN', PUFFIN' & BLUFFIN' The blustery squid-stained panicked hersteric Nassim Nicholas Taleb---the man who called those who dared not run around screeching like teenage girls as he did at the…
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One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool
Posted inStatistics

One Milwaukee Ballot Curiosity & One New Theoretical Voter Fraud Tool

Milwaukee Milwaukee is comprised of a number of wards, almost 500, from which was collected the number of votes each candidate received in both the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections…
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Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland
Posted inStatistics

Computer Models Aren’t Science — Guest Post by Robert Kurland

This piece ran originally at The American Catholic, but Kurland graciously allowed us to re-run it here. It is a topic of deep interest for us. INTRODUCTION We keep reading…
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    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

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    Somewhere, I have my brother's bag of marbles. I sometimes think I should go through them to see if there…

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    In the summer of 1960, in Fresno, California, I lost my promotional "KYNO Top-Dog Radio" boulder in a game of…

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