Posted inStatistics
Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
Posted inStatistics
The Reason Why Much Science Is Broken: Every Use Of P-Values Is A Logical Fallacy
I made this picture for my talk at the first ever public Broken Science event (videos coming soon): Everybody has heard the saying "correlation doesn't imply causation." Taken loosely, it…
Posted inPhilosophy
ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say
We covered this before, but there are indications our All Models chant is not effective, or is not believed. Here is another attempt at showing it is true. So, all…
Posted inStatistics
What Can You Replace P-Values & Hypothesis Testing With, Especially When Computing Sample Sizes?
Dr B asks a question about what to do about sample sizes and hypotheses after the scourge of p-values and null hypothesis significance testing are recognized for what they are.…
Posted inStatistics
The Only Argument Against P-Values You Will Ever Need
Some two and a half years ago I posted this article: "An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The title is unfortunate; or, rather, the subtitle is. It…
Posted inStatistics
Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models
Anons emails about experience with bad modeling. These read very like posts you see here daily. Lightly edited to remove personal information, with links by me. The post about the…
Posted inStatistics
Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties
Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…
Posted inStatistics
Why “The Science” Settled On “Carbon”
The answer to the question Why "The Science" Settled On "Carbon" is easy. The Science settled on "carbon" because it's easy. See? Easy is the answer, as promised. Now that…