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The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves
Posted inStatistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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The Reason Why Much Science Is Broken: Every Use Of P-Values Is A Logical Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

The Reason Why Much Science Is Broken: Every Use Of P-Values Is A Logical Fallacy

I made this picture for my talk at the first ever public Broken Science event (videos coming soon): Everybody has heard the saying "correlation doesn't imply causation." Taken loosely, it…
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ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say
Posted inPhilosophy

ChatGPT Only Says What It Was Told To Say

We covered this before, but there are indications our All Models chant is not effective, or is not believed. Here is another attempt at showing it is true. So, all…
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What Can You Replace P-Values & Hypothesis Testing With, Especially When Computing Sample Sizes?
Posted inStatistics

What Can You Replace P-Values & Hypothesis Testing With, Especially When Computing Sample Sizes?

Dr B asks a question about what to do about sample sizes and hypotheses after the scourge of p-values and null hypothesis significance testing are recognized for what they are.…
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The Only Argument Against P-Values You Will Ever Need
Posted inStatistics

The Only Argument Against P-Values You Will Ever Need

Some two and a half years ago I posted this article: "An Infinity of Null Hypotheses — Another Anti-P-Value Argument". The title is unfortunate; or, rather, the subtitle is. It…
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Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models
Posted inStatistics

Reader Experiences With Bad Medical & Finance Models

Anons emails about experience with bad modeling. These read very like posts you see here daily. Lightly edited to remove personal information, with links by me. The post about the…
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Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties
Posted inStatistics

Researchers Claim “Climate Change” Causes Currency Vulnerability: An Instance Of Forgotten Uncertainties

Listen to the podcast at YouTube, Bitchute, or Gab. We know all about models by now, do we not, dear readers? A model, also known as a theory, can be…
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  1. Cary Cotterman on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 21, 2026

    Every time I think I've read about an academic paper at the very bottom of the abyss of idiocy, another…

  2. Tars Tarkas on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 21, 2026

    "articulating that the checkboxes presume a reviewer who is an objective, disembodied expert untouched by power. " They aren't wrong…

  3. Tars Tarkas on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 21, 2026

    Among the many flaws of peer review is the weaponization of peer-review for political purposes. Some academic offends the ladies,…

  4. Neil Jordan on Class 94: Quantifying The UnquantifiableSeptember 17, 2026

    At last, an opportunity to join you in the "Quagmire of Marginal Statistics." This and later quote are from memory…

  5. McChuck on The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan EdwardsSeptember 17, 2026

    "South Korea and Japan will no longer exist, perhaps in our lifetime, if they don’t start reproducing or bringing more…

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