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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part Final: Parameters!

(All the stuff in this series is, in a fuller form, in my new upcoming book, which is tentatively called Logical Probability and Statistics---but I've only changed the title 342…
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Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value
Posted inStatistics

Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value

"Yes, I use P-values. They never did me any harm." Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these…
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$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?
Posted inStatistics

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Let's take something silly and turn it into something shiny. And, in doing so, relearn the invaluable lesson that nothing has a probability. Somebody posted this receipt from a sale…
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How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?
Posted inStatistics

How High an IQ Must A Person Have To Be Executed?

In proving foresight may be vain:The best laid schemes o’ Mice an’ MenGang aft agley,An’ lea’e us nought but grief an’ pain,For promis’d joy! Lennie said, "I thought you was…
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Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill
Posted inStatistics

Class 88: The Most Neglected Concept: Skill

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples
Posted inStatistics

Class 87: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Examples

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory
Posted inStatistics

Class 86: Calibration & Conformal Prediction: Theory

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
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All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model
Posted inStatistics

All Models Only Say What They Are Told To Say, And AI Is A Model

There is no Class this week, due to events. Here are the first 100 numbers in a series I constructed: 0.3987654 ,0.9560464 ,0.1675681 ,0.5562341 ,0.9843035 ,0.06160958 ,0.2305416 ,0.7073786 ,0.8254209 ,0.5746259…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 94: Quantifying The UnquantifiableSeptember 17, 2026

    At last, an opportunity to join you in the "Quagmire of Marginal Statistics." This and later quote are from memory…

  2. McChuck on The MRS Degree — Guest Post by Johnathan EdwardsSeptember 17, 2026

    "South Korea and Japan will no longer exist, perhaps in our lifetime, if they don’t start reproducing or bringing more…

  3. McChuck on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 17, 2026

    How many of the breast milk lab techs (doesn't that sound filthy out of context?) were wearing latex gloves, known…

  4. JH on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 16, 2026

    The alternative to preserved clay is, sooner rather than later, mouldy clay… Does this mean to create fear? There are…

  5. Cary Cotterman on PFAS and Preservatives: Entrenching Chemophobia through Everyday Stuff — Guest Post by Jaap HanekampSeptember 16, 2026

    Growing up in the late 1950s, I played with modeling clay almost every day. Who knows, back then it was…

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