Posted inStatistics
Class 81: The Second Biggest Error In Time Series
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Posted inStatistics
Researcher Imagines Weather With No Human Influence: Concludes Climate Change Hurts Incomes
If I had to pick one paper to represent why the Class is so important, about why so much which passes for science is unworthy, it might be the peer-reviewed…
Posted inStatistics
Class 79: Time Series Example
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. So please don’t feel like you must. Yet, I…
Posted inStatistics
Class 78: The Attempt To Turn Correlation Lead Into Causation Gold In Time Series
Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don't expect all want to read these posts. So please don't feel like you must. Yet, I…
Posted inStatistics
FDA Goes Bayes: It Should Have Gone Probability
The FDA should have gone probability. But they came close. They went Bayes. So announced FDA boss Marty Makar last week. Here's the document "Use of Bayesian Methodology in Clinical…
Posted inStatistics
Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
Posted inStatistics
Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
Posted inStatistics
Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…