Classic Posts
Featured Articles Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2 The Great Global Warming—A.K.A.…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Space’s 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science
Reader Ken pointed us to Space.com's click-me-click-me! article "The 10 Mistakes People Make When Arguing Science". Since everybody loves numbered lists, I'll duplicate their efforts here, using their mistakes. Isn't…
Posted inStatistics
P-Value Hacking Is Finally Being Noticed
Since I'm on the road, all typos today are free of charge. Some reasonably good news to report. A peer-reviewed paper: "The fickle P value generates irreproducible results" by Lewis…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Sampling Variability Is A Screwy, Misleading Concept
https://twitter.com/Bigdatanalysis/status/573739862924353536 Because of travel and jet lag, exacerbated by "springing forward", we continue our tour of Summa Contra Gentiles next week. If you can't read the tweet above, it says…
Posted inStatistics
Response To Trenberth Over “Why Models Run Hot”
Update Be sure to come back on Sunday and see my wrap-up column. A reporter from Nature who could not be brought to understand science was more important than fallacy…
Posted inStatistics
Temperature Grids, Interpolation, And Over-Certainty
A reader writes: I am a fairly new reader of your blog, coming from WattsUpWithThat and reading with delight and frustration your thoughts on statistics and climate. I have a…
Posted inStatistics
NEW PAPER: Why Models Run Hot: Results From An Irreducibly Simple Climate Model
This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Here's our press release. See also the Daily Mail. WHAT WENT WRONG? A major…
Posted inStatistics
Real Climate Temperature “Trend” Article Gets It Wrong (Like So Many Do)
This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Everything that can go wrong with a time series analysis has gone wrong with…