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In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)
Posted inStatistics

In Which Feynman Makes A Mistake: Negative Probabilities (Used In AI, QM, Finance)

Richard Feynman wasn't the first to suggest negative probabilities. That recognition goes to Paul Dirac, who introduced them and negative energies at the same time---because he thought these things explained…
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Serf’s Up! — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Posted inCulture

Serf’s Up! — Guest Post by Ianto Watt

Haven’t said much lately. Been little to say. Simply time to watch. Watch the Emperor’s men, watch Vlad. Decisions approach as the rain ends, the ground freezes and the ballots…
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Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)
Posted inStatistics

Class 32: The Excesses & Errors Of Epidemiology I (All Should Read)

All can and should read this post! Not just those actively taking the Class. This is an introduction to Epidemiology, a science which has done tremendous damage to clear thinking.…
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Briggs On The Steel On Steel Podcast Discussing Official Disinformation (which requires Official Truths), The WHO, OEJ, ETC
Posted inPodcast

Briggs On The Steel On Steel Podcast Discussing Official Disinformation (which requires Official Truths), The WHO, OEJ, ETC

One day before they "paused" the Disinformation Governance Board, I was interviewed by John Loeffler at Steel on Steel. The "pause" only means they'll keep doing what they've been doing…
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You, Dear Reader, Are An Extremist
Posted inStatistics

You, Dear Reader, Are An Extremist

We live in the Golden Age of Comedy. Need proof? Somebody said this imagery (embiggened one here) was like Hitler and Stalin had a baby. This could happen, too, because…
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Why The Many Worlds (Multiverse) Interpretation Of Quantum Mechanics Is Wrong: A New Objection
Posted inBook review Philosophy

Why The Many Worlds (Multiverse) Interpretation Of Quantum Mechanics Is Wrong: A New Objection

UPDATE I caused great confusion by putting the word "multiverse" in the title, when there is a whole other theory called "the" multiverse. Yet I did this because Hossenfelder herself,…
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How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

How Not To Think Like A Bayesian Rationalist

Lisping Rationalists When I read people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and Scott Alexander it becomes clear to me how the French could have built a Temple of Reason during The Terror.…
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Congress Mandated Experts Design Plan To Block The Sun — And Kill Us All
Posted inStatistics

Congress Mandated Experts Design Plan To Block The Sun — And Kill Us All

The White House itself, the very bastion of Experts, issued the report "CONGRESSIONALLY MANDATED RESEARCH PLAN AND AN INITIAL RESEARCH GOVERNANCE FRAMEWORK RELATED TO SOLAR RADIATION MODIFICATION" (pdf). Mandated. I…
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  1. McChuck on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    The answer for the pictured question is obviously '1', as the slot already has a '1' in it, which has…

  2. Briggs on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Mark, That's exactly it.

  3. Mark on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    Wittgenstein gave some examples like this in his Remarks on the Foundation of Mathematics, a book I had no business…

  4. hudbwu on AI & Chess Both Produce Pre-Coded OutputJuly 1, 2025

    The wrinkle is in the (pseudo-)random number generator. In principle, the random number generator can be hijacked by a higher…

  5. hudbwu on On The Probability Of GodJuly 1, 2025

    I don't think omnibenevolence is part of the definition of God. Not only because, as you stated, there is nothing…

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