Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Statistics Really Is: Part Last
Read Part I, Part Paradox, Part II Recapitulation: we have Pr(p|qm) where p is a proposition of interest, q the evidence we have compiled in the form of observations and…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Statistics Really Is: Part II
Read Part I, Part Paradox I claimed, and it is true, that all statistical problems could be written $latex \Pr(p|q)$, where p is a proposition of interest and q is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Statistics Really Is: Paradox Digression
Read Part I We're taking a small digression to answer a question put by Deborah Mayo in Part I, pointing to this article on her site. Mayo should be on…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Statistics Really Is: Part I
It's so simple that you'll think I'm kidding. Worse, the way I'll show it is such a radical departure from the manner in which you're used to thinking about probability…
Posted inStatistics
Statistics Talk: Chances Are You’re Doing It Wrong
The problem with statistics is the astonishing amount of magical thinking tolerated. A statistician---or his apprentice; this means you---waving a formula over a dataset is little different than an alchemist…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Scientific Idea Is Ready For Retirement? Hypothesis Tests
Edge asked a whopping number of named persons which ideas are ready to be expunged from the thing that is Science. Somehow my invitation got lost in the aether, an…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Regression Really Is: Part III
Read Part II Which x's to pick? Unfortunately, there is an infinite universe from which to draw---and here we come closer to resembles. It could be, for instance, a person's…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
What Regression Really Is: Part II
Read Part I Let's continue our example. Suppose our regression shows that the probability of a Hate score greater than 5 is 60% for men and 80% for women---for people…