Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Alternative To P-Values
I apologize for the abruptness of the notation. It will be understandable only to a few. I don't like to use it without sufficient background because the risk of reification…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof
Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…
Posted inStatistics
On The Intersection Of Scientist And Politicians—Guest Post by An Engineer
"An Engineer" is a gentleman who has practiced Civil, Mechanical and Industrial Engineering for more than 40 years. He has been granted patents for a number of practical inventions, and…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV
Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III
Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…
Posted inStatistics
How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example
Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…
Posted inStatistics
Econometric Drinking Games, WSJ Edition: Update
Jim Fedako sent in this Wall Street Journal column, written by one Dan Ariely, a "Professor of Psychology and Behavioral Economics." A lady wrote Ariely asking for economic party games.…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Most Probabilities Aren’t Quantifiable
We've done this before in different form. But it hasn't stuck; plus we need this for reference. Not all probability is quantifiable. The proof for this is simple: all that…