Search Results for “probability” – Page 105

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

Statistics

How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example

Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…

Statistics

Econometric Drinking Games, WSJ Edition: Update

Jim Fedako sent in this Wall Street Journal column, written by one Dan Ariely, a "Professor of Psychology and Behavioral Economics." A lady wrote Ariely asking for economic party games.…

Philosophy Statistics

Most Probabilities Aren’t Quantifiable

We've done this before in different form. But it hasn't stuck; plus we need this for reference. Not all probability is quantifiable. The proof for this is simple: all that…

Philosophy Statistics

Scrap Statistics, Begin Anew

You or I might perhaps be excused if we sometimes toyed with solipsism, especially when we reflect on the utter failure of our writings to produce the smallest effect in…

Statistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part Last

Read Part I, Part II. Don't be lazy. This is difficult but extremely important stuff. Let's add in a layer of uncertainty and see what happens. But first hike up…

Statistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part II

Read Part I. Seriously. Read it. Not everything is easy. Today's stuff is used to make decisions about your life, so pay attention. Cue the organ... When we last left…

Statistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky—And Profitable—Business: Part I

Not a trick question: what's the difference between a risk of one in ten million and one of two in ten million? The official answer is "Not much." Though I…

McChuck on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
Give the vote only to men over 21. One vote per man (must be a citizen, of course). One if…
Brian (bulaoren) on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
Women want government to be "by consensus", like Rome's Second Triumvirate.
shawn marshall on How Women’s Equality In Democracies Changes Voting (And Everything Else)February 2, 2026
If only a married man and woman had one vote to cast as a couple the decline of the USA…
Johnno on Scientists Invent New Name For Models: Digital TwinsFebruary 1, 2026
So instead of any actual fieldwork and gathering physical materials and samples, will the scientists now be using digital replicas…
Robert Berger on Physics & Vertical Causation: The End of Quantum Reality by Wolfgang Smith ReviewedFebruary 1, 2026
Thel Physics comments miss the entire metaphysical point ! (for the most part) We are now getting back to essence.…