Search Results for “probability” – Page 106

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. We are nearly at the point where we can say something about the candidate proposition of interest: "Treatment cures cancer of the albondigas." It is…

Philosophy Statistics

On The Evidence From Experiments: Part III

Read Part I, Part II first. All other propositions are contingent. For example, it is not necessarily true that your treatment should be a cure for cancer of the albondigas…

Statistics

How To Mislead With P-values: Logistic Regression Example

Today's evidence is not new; is, in fact, well known. Well, make that just plain known. It's learned and then forgotten, dismissed. Everybody knows about these kinds of mistakes, but…

Statistics

Econometric Drinking Games, WSJ Edition: Update

Jim Fedako sent in this Wall Street Journal column, written by one Dan Ariely, a "Professor of Psychology and Behavioral Economics." A lady wrote Ariely asking for economic party games.…

Philosophy Statistics

Most Probabilities Aren’t Quantifiable

We've done this before in different form. But it hasn't stuck; plus we need this for reference. Not all probability is quantifiable. The proof for this is simple: all that…

Philosophy Statistics

Scrap Statistics, Begin Anew

You or I might perhaps be excused if we sometimes toyed with solipsism, especially when we reflect on the utter failure of our writings to produce the smallest effect in…

Statistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part Last

Read Part I, Part II. Don't be lazy. This is difficult but extremely important stuff. Let's add in a layer of uncertainty and see what happens. But first hike up…

Statistics

Selling Fear Is A Risky Business: Part II

Read Part I. Seriously. Read it. Not everything is easy. Today's stuff is used to make decisions about your life, so pay attention. Cue the organ... When we last left…

C-Marie on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 17, 2026
For how long was the covid vaccine tested before being released, , AND FOR HOW LONG IS A VACCINE SUPPOSED…
Rudolph Harrier on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026
During the COVID pandemic the Minnesota shut down directives were based on a computer model that said that tens of…
R W Pearson on On Not ReadingMarch 16, 2026
Good to hear you are an avid reader, Professor Briggs. The word processor gave us the boat anchor novel, and…
James on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026
Why is a BRITISH journal (The Lancet) complaining about the US medical establishment? And given the current political establishment in…
bruce g charlton on Lancet Discovers Public Health Is PoliticsMarch 16, 2026
As I have been saying for a couple of decades; science is dead (as a social institution) - but *medical*…