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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part III

Following Part II, here are some examples to show the differences between objectivist, subjectivist, and frequentist probabilities derived from fixed premises and set conclusions. Example 1 Not all probability is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

A Common Fallacy In Global Warming Arguments

Our post today is provided by Terry Oldberg, M.S.E., M.S.E.E., P.E. Engineer-Scientist, Citizen of the U.S. That's a lot of letters, Terry! Oldberg joined our Spot the Fallacy Contest, which…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part II

Read Part I. What is the probability that "The Detroit Tigers win today's game" (which has not yet been played)? The truth of the proposition (in quotes) is not known…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part I

Definitions We first have to define what subjectivity and objectivity are and from these see what happens. For those unused to reading long stretches of prose, here is the conclusion,…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Russian Roulette And Certainty

Suppose one fine day you pick up your Smith & Wesson 586 ($809 MSRP), a .357 Magnum revolver---which means that thingee in the middle spins around, advancing one round at…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Epistemology: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part VI

Read Part V. Remember, we're doing summaries of summaries here; only bare sketches are possible. Buy his book for more detail. We are back on familiar stamping groups with Question…
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Posted inStatistics

Scientists Claim Brain Scans Can ID Pre-Criminals

"I'm sorry, sir. We cannot recommend Mr Jones be granted parole," said the man in the impressive white coat, on which was embroidered his name and the awe-inspiring initials "MD".…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

Logic: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part I

Since we had so much fun pulling apart Ed Feser's The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism (start here), I thought we'd do the same for Peter Kreeft's…
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