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Why Bayes Is Not The Fix We Need: A Critique of Bayesian Inference and its Application
Posted inStatistics

Why Bayes Is Not The Fix We Need: A Critique of Bayesian Inference and its Application

I've pointed out many times some of the weaknesses of traditional statistical practices, and how the routine use of "hypothesis testing" leads to an ever-growing mountain of Broken Science. Some…
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Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You Think
Posted inStatistics

Class 37: Simulations Aren’t What You Think

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…
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Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report
Posted inStatistics

Broken Science Epistemological Camp Report

There was another Broken Science event this past weekend in the Phoenix area. Yours Truly was there. I gather the videos will be on line at some point, at the…
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Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World
Posted inStatistics

Top Scientists Plead For Someone To Calculate The Probability Of The End Of The World

Here's how the AP climate doom article starts: Experts are ignoring the worst possible climate change catastrophic scenarios, including collapse of society or the potential extinction of humans, however unlikely,…
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Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?
Posted inStatistics

Professor’s Long-Accurate Presidential Election Model Picks Biden. How Do We Judge This Model?

How impressive does this headline sound: "Forecaster who's predicted every presidential winner correctly for 40 YEARS reveals who he thinks will win 2024 election"? We'll use this to look at…
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Class 23: An Infinity Of Hypotheses! (Bayes)
Posted inStatistics

Class 23: An Infinity Of Hypotheses! (Bayes)

This post is really for those adept at math, a necessary avenue to understand this subject entirely. Most will want to skip the video. BUT DO READ THE LECTURE. IT'S…
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Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I
Posted inStatistics

Class 30: Hypothesis Testing Stinks I

Today the math, which you don't strictly need if you can't calculate, behind how to think about Research Shows headlines and papers. This will be an invaluable exercise. You must…
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Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity
Posted inStatistics

Class 38: Truly Random & Information Complexity

There is nothing magical or mystical about simulations, and "randomness" has nothing to do with any of them. Let's remove the unrealistic thinking from simulations by understanding them for what…
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