Search Results for “probability” – Page 11

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…

Fun

Upcoming Probability & Statistics Talks! The Climate, Over-Certainty & More!

Update Classic Posts page link fixed. When & Where I have no idea. As soon as somebody hires me to give them. Since I am out of the system, I…

Book review Philosophy Statistics

An Introduction To Uncertainty: Probability, Statistics, and Modeling of All Kinds

This is a teaser, the first part of a 3,200-word narrative outline for the book that I've started to shop around. The current title is in the headline. Regular readers…

Philosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…

Philosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…

Philosophy Statistics

There Is No Such Thing As Intrinsic Probability

This is less fun than looking at the so-called principle of indifference, which you must read first, and I realize we're wading into the depths and on a Friday, but…

Philosophy Statistics

Physical Probability Doesn’t Exist

There have been many attempts to tie probability to physical chance. Here, briefly and for discussion, is why I think all of them fail. Ontology does not recapitulate epistemology Let…

Philosophy Statistics

Preface: The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction

%This is the Preface of The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction coming before Preface and before the chapters on Truth and Logic. Note the New & Improved title!…

C-Marie on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
"...being born wrong” Has anyone asked what being born has to do with one's sexuality??? "A zygote forms when sperm…
Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
Jeff, I used to listen to Dennis Prager quite a bit, and I've heard him condemn pornography at length several…
Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
As far back as I can remember, to around late toddlerhood, I was always drawn to girls, even long before…
JerryR on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
I have a question: what does it mean to be conservative? I always considered conservative to be truth. So what…
jeff on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
I understand your main point - the transexual contagion served to shift the conservative defense to the left leaving homosexuality…