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Posted inStatistics

Monty Hall And This Video Prove Probability Is Measure Of Truth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C5-I0bAuEUE This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. This post is really an excuse to highlight a cute video that's being…
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Posted inFun

Upcoming Probability & Statistics Talks! The Climate, Over-Certainty & More!

Update Classic Posts page link fixed. When & Where I have no idea. As soon as somebody hires me to give them. Since I am out of the system, I…
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Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics

An Introduction To Uncertainty: Probability, Statistics, and Modeling of All Kinds

This is a teaser, the first part of a 3,200-word narrative outline for the book that I've started to shop around. The current title is in the headline. Regular readers…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability

Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

There Is No Such Thing As Intrinsic Probability

This is less fun than looking at the so-called principle of indifference, which you must read first, and I realize we're wading into the depths and on a Friday, but…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Physical Probability Doesn’t Exist

There have been many attempts to tie probability to physical chance. Here, briefly and for discussion, is why I think all of them fail. Ontology does not recapitulate epistemology Let…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Preface: The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction

%This is the Preface of The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics, An Introduction coming before Preface and before the chapters on Truth and Logic. Note the New & Improved title!…
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  1. Cary D Cotterman on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    Nuking seems like such an architectural waste. Would it be possible to just quickly and cleanly eliminate university-infesting life forms,…

  2. Brian (bulaoren) on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    How long will it take for carnival rides to start complaining about being "objectified"?

  3. Pk on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    The Gravity ride was introduced in 2015. What is the age of consent for an amusement park ride?

  4. Rich on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    I'm presuming that "centrifugal logic" is reasoning that flees from sense.

  5. shawn marshall on Academics Debate Which Term Best Describes Those Who Love (in that way) Their PillowsNovember 10, 2025

    all I can say is "Oh my" Romans 1: 16-32 I think

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