Search Results for “probability” – Page 116

All Forecasts, Predictions, & Prophecies Are Contingent

Yesterday I made the point that Jim Hansen's latest threat of doom was a conditional one. I also said that there was nothing wrong with this. And there isn't. Nothing…

Statistics

Statistics Proves Same Drug Both Causes And Does Not Cause Same Cancer

No, the title of today's post is not a joke, even though it has often been used that way in the past. The title was inspired by yesterday's Wall Street…

Philosophy Statistics

Love Of Theory Is The Root Of All Evil

Love of truth, on the other hand, is the root of all that is good. Bill Whittle at PJTV very kindly produced a video entitled "Best. Sentence. Ever." (it…

Fun Philosophy

The Red-Ball-In-The-Box Fallacy

Okay, friends, I need your help. One day last year, shortly after I had arrived in Taiwan, I awoke from a fitful, jet-lagged sleep at 2 a.m. with the argument…

Fun Statistics

Wearing A New Hat At JP Research

I am now a member of JP Research. What does this mean to you, my loyal readers? Little, except that my contact information for consulting has changed. New telephone and…

Culture Philosophy Statistics

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Part III

Diversity Is Not Always Desirable Parts I, II, III, IV Race, whether or not it can be successfully defined biologically, is clearly important. People, even the non-sincere, at least act…

Fun Statistics

Are The Masters Winners Getting Younger And Better? Predictions Update

Update As of this writing, the 2012 Masters is halfway through, so it's a good time to re-examine the predictions made last April for this year's tournament. Scores have been…

Fun Statistics

On Not Winning The Lottery: Horrible Death & Strategies For Winning

Still Here The unthinkable has happened: neither I, nor most certainly you, have won the lottery. Notice I did not use the word "inconceivable", but merely "unthinkable." For while it…

Johnno on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
Not only must we Follow THE SCIENCE (tm), but we must LIKE and hit the Notification Bell to be updated…
Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026
NLR - My favorite pet peeve are restaurants where there are no printed menus, just QR codes to the menu…
Johnno on The Loss of Ephemera — Guest Post by The Blonde BombshellFebruary 24, 2026
The plan is for an EMP to destroy everything and leave a convenient gap in the years between 2000 and…
Brian (bulaoren) on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
Yesterday, someone gave me a book of crossword puzzles. I was disappointed to find them rather non-challenging; no fun. Perhaps…
Cary D Cotterman on Scientists Seeking To Escape Criticism Run To The Warmth & Comfort Of BlueskyFebruary 24, 2026
They're happier where nobody is smart enough to question authority, nobody has bullshit radar, and everybody kisses their asses.