Half the country will be unhappy late tonight. Or in a few days, when the last of the new votes are "discovered". Yet be of good cheer! This was all…

JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…

Forgive me my friends, because of reasons I am terribly far behind on everything. Regular posting to resume soon. While back in a post, I was ranting about something like…

For any observed data an infinite number of models will fit it perfectly. How do you choose between them? Illustrated with an IQ test logic puzzle. Video https://videopress.com/v/zaDcFlBz?resizeToParent=true&cover=true&preloadContent=metadata&useAverageColor=true Links: YouTube…

We did this years ago, but it's time for a refresh for new readers. You make a bet with a bookie. You don't want X to happen, where "X" can…

Physicist and microchip inventor Federico Faggin is an open unabashed enthusiastic pantheist, or rather panpsychist. Any number of such people are found in the sandal-shod organic trail-mix crowd, the sort…

Suppose you're an Expert, or even an ordinary person, and you say, "If the world is like X, then Y will happen". Or you say or imply, "If the world…

There is this idea in statistics called the "bootstrap." The idea is not crazy, but it's not quite right either. Works like this: data comes in, and usually some parameterized…