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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Chance Of Heat Wave Only 1 in 1.6 Million? Or, Probability Gone Wrong

My dad took a swing with his nine-iron and the wiffle simulacrum of a golf ball took flight, arched upwards, spun left and, without bouncing, landed atop my favorite blade…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

2012 UEFA European Football Championship And What Probability Is

A pair of statisticians have calculated that, as of 10 June, the probability that Germany takes the 2012 Euro Cup is 26.8%. Russia, they say, comes in with the next…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Probability Of Nonsense In Science: Complexity & Verification

This is a work in progress, and today is a busy day. This is just for fun and for you to play with. The more complex the field of study,…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Sleeping Beauty Probability Problem

Update This has been moved up from its original 29 Feb 2012 date on 23 March 2012 to allow additional comments. Update This has been moved up from its original…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

The Humble Tautology And Probability

Start with the premises P1 = "All men are mortal" and P2 = "Socrates is a man" and from them we want to know the status of the conclusion C…
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Posted inFun Statistics

Solution Given! Probability Problem: Measurement Error Of Colored Balls

From a colleague (who wishes to remain anonymous) comes this poser: Suppose that we have a box containing three objects: one red ball and two identical blue cubes. One object…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Probability Leakage

Submitted for your approval, yet another paper. On Probability Leakage, posted at Arxiv. Once you, my beloved readers, have had a go with it, I'll incorporate your comments in an…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Inuitionist Math & Probability: Riemann Hypothesis Example

The principium tertii exclusi, the principle or law of the excluded middle, what is that? If there is a proposition B then it is either the case that B is…
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  1. McChuck on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 25, 2025

    Merry Christmas! "Render therefore unto Caesar the things which are Caesar's; and unto God the things that are God's."

  2. Cary D Cotterman on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    A quarter-inch-drive ratchet with a set of sockets doesn't answer any moral and ethical questions, but it's damned useful. Merry…

  3. Uncle Mike on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    Christmas is another question Science has no explanation for. Joy and peace to you and yours.

  4. Faith on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    Briggs, you're the best! Merry Christmas!

  5. Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By Science – William M. Briggs on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 24, 2025

    […] older version of this post originally ran 12 November 2016. All scientific successes in morals and ethics since then…

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