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Register Your Predictions For 2025!
Posted inStatistics

Register Your Predictions For 2025!

My Dear Friends and Despised Enemies, Happy New Year. As has been our tradition these many years, it’s time to register our predictions for the coming year. We looked at…
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The Difference Between Variability & Uncertainty In Risk
Posted inStatistics

The Difference Between Variability & Uncertainty In Risk

Reader question: Dear Dr. Briggs I regularly read your blog and have purchased both your books. I especially liked your book on Uncertainty, although I need to study it a…
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Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Spurious Correlations Proves Hypothesis Testing Should Be Abandoned

This week traditionally is a slow week on the blog, so let me have a go at explaining something I've explained a few hundred times before, a thing which has…
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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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Leighton Smith Podcast: Everything You Believe Is Wrong
Posted inStatistics

Leighton Smith Podcast: Everything You Believe Is Wrong

Leighton Smith of New Zealand kindly had me on his podcast Wednesday. We discussed, among other matters, my book Everything You Believe Is Wrong. You know, the one my enemies…
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Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Posted inStatistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
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The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos
Posted inCulture Philosophy

The Broken Science Initiative: Two Introductory Videos

The Broken Science Initiative, to which I have been invited, has at last been launched at a recent get together in California. Greg Glassman introduces the topic. You will recognize…
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The Time Is Now For It To Be Now. Again.
Posted inFun

The Time Is Now For It To Be Now. Again.

What's Up? Time for our biannual update, dear readers. My forays into this new thing called "video" have, at long last, begun. It took me so long because I do…
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  1. Hun on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    The only way to do this reliably is around a religion or occult faith. No religion in its current form…

  2. Hagfish Bagpipe on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    [[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[secret handshake]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]

  3. Mark Rhodes on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    Leon Podkes wrote a book called “The Church Impotent: The Feminazation of the Church” in the late ‘90s that talks…

  4. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    ...and I saw 5 or 25 in the figure. The division answer never occurred to me. Got all the rest…

  5. Phil R on Test Your IQ With These Puzzles! (Not So Easy!)July 1, 2025

    If someone asks a question that is conditional on some evidence or rule that they conveniently (or purposely) leave out,…

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