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Posted inStatistics

Why probability isn’t relative frequency

(This is a modified excerpt from my forthcoming---he said hopefully---book, on the subject of why probability cannot be relative frequency. This is to be paired with the essay on why…
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Posted inStatistics

Why probability cannot be subjective

A reader recently disputed my condensation of the tenets of Bayesian subjective probability. (I promised a thread on which we could discuss the matter more fully, so here it is.)…
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Posted inStatistics

The Sean Bell shooting and probability

Yesterday, there were several protests in New York City. The participants were ``outraged" over the recent acquittal of two black cops and one Lebanese cop who shot and killed Sean…
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$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?
Posted inStatistics

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Let's take something silly and turn it into something shiny. And, in doing so, relearn the invaluable lesson that nothing has a probability. Somebody posted this receipt from a sale…
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Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inStatistics

Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp

One thing I didn't take precaution against was my own stupidity. A marvelous and constant, menacing thing you would think that, if anybody, I would have been ready for. You…
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Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics
Posted inStatistics

Hume’s Guillotine, Euclid’s Catapult: Induction, Axioms, and Objective Ethics

You will have heard that David Hume claimed ethical oughts cannot be derived from any factual is (empirical observation). This is called Hume's Guillotine, presumably for the great number of…
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Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)
Posted inStatistics

Never Use Or Trust P-values (Pagan-Values)

There will be no Class this week or next because of the Fourth. But to tide you over, this short video instructing you never to use of trust "P-values". P(agan)-values…
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The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove
Posted inStatistics

The Intellectual Capacity Of Women by David Stove

Jim Franklin hosted this classic essay of the late David Stove’s for many years. But he received a complaint from one of the intellectually Tolerant. As Franklin said, “An authorized officer…
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  1. C-Marie on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    What is the point of this writing????? God bless, C-Marie

  2. Cary Cotterman on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    Huh? Is this a joke, or what? As an ugly old dude who was only ever marginally attractive at all,…

  3. Johnno on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    If dating trends are anything to go by, the men are no longer looking... Imagination will suffice until the end…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    Today is not April 1st (I checked). Physically unattractive women are not highly coveted on the mating market. Might that…

  5. Philip Rogan on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    Ugh, that put me off my lunch.

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