Search Results for “probability” – Page 19

Why probability isn’t relative frequency

(This is a modified excerpt from my forthcoming---he said hopefully---book, on the subject of why probability cannot be relative frequency. This is to be paired with the essay on why…

Statistics

Why probability cannot be subjective

A reader recently disputed my condensation of the tenets of Bayesian subjective probability. (I promised a thread on which we could discuss the matter more fully, so here it is.)…

Statistics

The Sean Bell shooting and probability

Yesterday, there were several protests in New York City. The participants were ``outraged" over the recent acquittal of two black cops and one Lebanese cop who shot and killed Sean…

Statistics

Class 96: Can Bayesianism Quantify True Belief?

The simple answer to today's titular question is no, Bayesianism cannot quantify true belief. This answer will disappoint the Effective Altruists, Rationalists, many professional statisticians, a score of others, and…

Statistics

Irrational Rationalists: Effective Altruists & The Planet of the Ants

Isaac Asimov in The Naked Sun, one of his many robot-mystery books, wrote that the minds of his positronic-brained robots (unlike our forever-dumb switch-brained computers) were “Logical but not reasonable.”…

Statistics

Class 95: Answering P-Value Good Uses Challenges

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…

Statistics

Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…

Statistics

Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value

"Yes, I use P-values. They never did me any harm." Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these…

hudbwu on Academics Call For The Killing Of Babies In “After-Birth” AbortionsOctober 8, 2026
Does a spematozoid have an aim? Then frustrating it's aim (by ejaculating wherever) would be harmful to the spermatozoid. Interesting…
John Jorgensen on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 6, 2026
It’s not the machines that are of concern but the models they run with great speed and access to huge…
James on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026
Assuming a 100% materialist world view, one must conclude that one's OWN thought processes are just so many particles exchanging…
Tellme on There Are No Such Thing As Gays (Or Transexuals)October 5, 2026
Other than impotent boys before puberty, and old men with low testosterone, all humans masturbate on purpose, or by accident.…
Brian (bulaoren) on Top 10 Reasons AI Will Never Become Superintelligence: It Won’t Destroy Nor Save UsOctober 5, 2026
Perhaps "Artificial Intelligence" is like an Artificial sex-doll; not the real thing, but close enough to get the job done.