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Posted inStatistics

Why probability isn’t relative frequency

(This is a modified excerpt from my forthcoming---he said hopefully---book, on the subject of why probability cannot be relative frequency. This is to be paired with the essay on why…
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Posted inStatistics

Why probability cannot be subjective

A reader recently disputed my condensation of the tenets of Bayesian subjective probability. (I promised a thread on which we could discuss the matter more fully, so here it is.)…
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Posted inStatistics

The Sean Bell shooting and probability

Yesterday, there were several protests in New York City. The participants were ``outraged" over the recent acquittal of two black cops and one Lebanese cop who shot and killed Sean…
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Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable
Posted inStatistics

Class 94: Quantifying The Unquantifiable

Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these posts. Pease don’t feel like you must. Yet, I have…
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Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value
Posted inStatistics

Class 93: P-values Challenge! List The “Good Uses” of P-value

"Yes, I use P-values. They never did me any harm." Reminder: The Thursday Class is only for those interested in studying uncertainty. I don’t expect all want to read these…
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Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & Intelligence
Posted inStatistics

Lewontin’s Other Fallacy: Race & Intelligence

The most race-obsessed people, paradoxically, are those who claim race does not exist. Academics in particular are prone to insist on race being a fiction invented by "racists", people who…
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$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?
Posted inStatistics

$7.11 at 7:11 PM on 7/11 at 7/11: What Are The Chances?

Let's take something silly and turn it into something shiny. And, in doing so, relearn the invaluable lesson that nothing has a probability. Somebody posted this receipt from a sale…
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Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp
Posted inStatistics

Caution Against The Precautionary Principle: Interview with Jaap Hanekamp

One thing I didn't take precaution against was my own stupidity. A marvelous and constant, menacing thing you would think that, if anybody, I would have been ready for. You…
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