Posted inStatistics
Class 74: Contra Effect Sizes
Thanks to whoever sent the Dice (there was no note or name attached). They work! Some are recognizing testing is flawed, but they seek refuge in "effect sizes", which is…
Posted inStatistics
The Biggest Mistake In Science Applied To Universe As Simulation
If you're an academic, you might think the biggest mistake in science is failing to win the grant, and thus lose the power to calm the Savage Powers that demand…
Posted inStatistics
Class 73: How To Tell If You Have Bad Dice
This is the most in-depth, complicated Class yet. But it has everything. Every probability problem turns out to be just like asking Pr(Dice loaded|Evidence). I hope you stick by this…
Posted inStatistics
The Perfect Conspiracy Theory
I didn't believe it when I first heard the most perfect conspiracy theory. You won't either. Who would? But once I did hear, I searched, because that is what good…
Posted inStatistics
The Apples In A Sack Paradox: Solve It Or You Get No Pie Tomorrow
Via Alexander Bogomolny: At 1 minute to midnight 10 apples fall into a sack. The same happens at half a minute to midnight, then at a quarter minute to midnight,…
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Class 72: Most Claims Of “Controlled For” Are Wrong: The Wrong Way
Do not conduct or trust any regression, or any probability model, before you understand what "control" means and does NOT mean. NO CLASS NEXT WEEK. Video https://youtu.be/_ON42EEGrb4 Links: YouTube *…
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On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”
The title is lifted from an email I received, one of many asking me to look into the paper "A calibration of nucleic acid (PCR) by antibody (IgG) tests in…
Posted inStatistics
Class 71: Never Trust ‘Research Shows’ Headlines: We Bring Cause To Data
All uses of hypothesis testing are fallacies. The results could be true, or likely, but only accidentally. A proof based on the Resurrection and GPA. Bonus Song Anon sent in…