Search Results for “probability” – Page 32

Reasons Not To Like Prediction Markets

Note: I wrote this on Saturday morning before the events of Sunday hilariously vindicated the conclusions below. My point was to illustrate how bets are not probabilities, though they do…

Statistics

Class 14: No “UNfair” Dice & 1, 2, 3, Many!

Link to all Classes. Video Announcement: In order to preserve sanity, I am not going to include any technical proofs in the Video lectures from now on. As important, indeed…

Statistics

Lesson 13: No “Fair” Dice & Jaynes Symmetry

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) The Infamous Coin Flipping Machine! Link to…

Class

Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) Link to all…

Class

Class 11: One Son Born Tuesday & Relevance. Update: Homework Added!

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: RELEVANCE. A psychic is guessing cards from a standard poker deck…

Statistics

Life Outside Earth: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

SF writes: I’m reading Benedict XVI’s “In the Beginning” and he said something that has me thinking. According to Monod, there is in the universe not only necessity but also…

Class

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall

Class 10: Minding Your Ps & Qs & Monty Hall: Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute HOMEWORK: You…

Statistics

Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis

Dear reader, this will be a tad difficult, but I urge you to plow through as best you can, because this is becoming "a thing" in some areas. I stripped…

hudbwu on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 12, 2025
I'll just point out that there is nothing in the Catholic doctrine that prohibits cannibalism. I was quite surprised when…
Johnno on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 11, 2025
The cemeteries??? The hospitals themselves will weigh you and cut you up and auction you off just like the first…
John Pate on Class 74: Contra Effect SizesDecember 11, 2025
The big sticking point for me is that everyone assumes they are sampling from the Normal Distribution for no reason…
Rob JM on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”December 11, 2025
What the holy tortured and misinterpreted data Batman! They were comparing apples to blended banana splits and then desperately tried…
John Pate on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 10, 2025
When the Indo-Pak agricultural systems collapse, which judging by their skirmishes over water will be in the near future, and/or…