Posted inStatistics
Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!
Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…
Posted inPodcast Statistics
National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)
Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…
Posted inPhilosophy
Blish & Spengler On The End Science
The National Association of Scholars is hosting a webinar this Friday, 3 PM EST: Is Science Broken? featuring Yours Truly. Free, but you have to register. We were introduced to…
Posted inStatistics
There Is No Such Thing As A Fair Coin
Not only is there no such thing as a "fair" coin, there are no "fair" dice, either. Or "fair" anything. Which I shall prove to you. From Khan Academy, a…
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics
The Randomized In Randomized Controlled Trials Is Pure Superstition; Bad Magic
Why You Need To Read This My dear readers, a complex subject today, presented in the guise of a book review. We are increasingly beset by lunatic psychotic sociopathic rulers…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
There Is No Difference Between A Proposal, Hypothesis, Model, Theory or Law
Ready for some Logic 101? Something real easy, I promise. We'll use it in service to show why falsificationism is not that interesting, or useful, and we'll need it in…
Posted inStatistics
What The Law Of Large Numbers Really Means
JJ Couey, who hosts a podcast well known to some of you, and friend of the Broken Science Initiative, asked me about the so-called Law of Large Numbers. Jay wonders…
Posted inStatistics
Insurance Isn’t Insurance & Why It’s All So Crazy
We did this years ago, but it's time for a refresh for new readers. You make a bet with a bookie. You don't want X to happen, where "X" can…