Search Results for “probability” – Page 43

Signal + Noise vs. Signal: Don’t Make This Classic Mistake

Day three of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I am on vacation…

Statistics

The Ugly Unreality Of The Homogenization Of Time Series: Why Climate Scientists Are Too Sure Of Themselves

Day two of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change". Your author has many bona fides and much experience in this field: see this. Announcement. I…

Statistics

Do not smooth times series, you hockey puck!

Welcome to the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author has…

Podcast Statistics

National Association of Scholars: Is Science Broken? (Make a guess!)

Announcement Next week I am on vacation as I prepare for the Cultural Event of the year. There will be no new posts: there may be classic reposts. Last week…

Philosophy

Blish & Spengler On The End Science

The National Association of Scholars is hosting a webinar this Friday, 3 PM EST: Is Science Broken? featuring Yours Truly. Free, but you have to register. We were introduced to…

Statistics

There Is No Such Thing As A Fair Coin

Not only is there no such thing as a "fair" coin, there are no "fair" dice, either. Or "fair" anything. Which I shall prove to you. From Khan Academy, a…

Book review Philosophy Statistics

The Randomized In Randomized Controlled Trials Is Pure Superstition; Bad Magic

Why You Need To Read This My dear readers, a complex subject today, presented in the guise of a book review. We are increasingly beset by lunatic psychotic sociopathic rulers…

Philosophy Statistics

There Is No Difference Between A Proposal, Hypothesis, Model, Theory or Law

Ready for some Logic 101? Something real easy, I promise. We'll use it in service to show why falsificationism is not that interesting, or useful, and we'll need it in…

hudbwu on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 14, 2026
@Rudolph Harrier: it's weird that you mention D&D in relation to LLMs. In my experience, nothing shows the utter impotence…
hudbwu on My Horrible Interaction With AIJuly 14, 2026
A moment of silence for people who still test "AI" tools, so we who don't use them could know what…
hudbwu on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 14, 2026
And then people wonder why USA gets it's butt kicked in war.
Cloudbuster on University of California Prof Tries To Save System From DIEingJuly 14, 2026
Cary Cotterman: "Her ambition, hilariously, was to become a civil rights lawyer." Pretty good odds she succeeded and is busily…
Myster Mars on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaJuly 14, 2026
In Mike Pompeo's defense, we need only look at Russia’s relentless crackdown on the Ukrainian Greek Catholic Church. Lenin first…