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Why Bayes Is Not The Fix We Need: A Critique of Bayesian Inference and its Application
Posted inStatistics

Why Bayes Is Not The Fix We Need: A Critique of Bayesian Inference and its Application

I've pointed out many times some of the weaknesses of traditional statistical practices, and how the routine use of "hypothesis testing" leads to an ever-growing mountain of Broken Science. Some…
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A Doctor Reveals His Wee P
Posted inStatistics

A Doctor Reveals His Wee P

You go into the doc's office. He's not looking happy. He's holding your chart. "Mr Smith, I'm afraid I have some bad news for you." Give it to me straight,…
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Doom For The Doomsday Argument
Posted inPhilosophy

Doom For The Doomsday Argument

Heard of the Doomsday Argument, sometimes also called the Carter Catastrophe? It claims to be able to name the date, with a certain confidence, at which mankind dies off. It…
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“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”
Posted inStatistics

“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”

"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
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Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?
Posted inStatistics

Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?

I've finished an analysis of the New Zealand vax data. But since tempers are hot on this, and the subject is important, I want to be sure I haven't missed…
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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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Humpty Dumpty Takes On The Sports Illustrated Curse — Guest Post by Jim Fedako
Posted inFun

Humpty Dumpty Takes On The Sports Illustrated Curse — Guest Post by Jim Fedako

We continue our Thanksgiving week of pleasant stories, today with a guest post by Jim Fedako. “When I use a word,’ Humpty Dumpty said in rather a scornful tone, ‘it…
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What Makes A Casino Gamble Different Than Making A Decision Under Uncertainty?
Posted inPhilosophy

What Makes A Casino Gamble Different Than Making A Decision Under Uncertainty?

We continue with our week of pleasant Thanksgiving topics. A cop in the police procedural Hell Is A City (start around 54 minutes) discerned one of the bad guys he…
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  1. C-Marie on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    What is the point of this writing????? God bless, C-Marie

  2. Cary Cotterman on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    Huh? Is this a joke, or what? As an ugly old dude who was only ever marginally attractive at all,…

  3. Johnno on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    If dating trends are anything to go by, the men are no longer looking... Imagination will suffice until the end…

  4. Brian (bulaoren) on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    Today is not April 1st (I checked). Physically unattractive women are not highly coveted on the mating market. Might that…

  5. Philip Rogan on Ugly Women Rulers Condemn LookismAugust 3, 2026

    Ugh, that put me off my lunch.

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