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Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
Posted inStatistics

Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy

There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
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Humpty Dumpty Takes On The Sports Illustrated Curse — Guest Post by Jim Fedako
Posted inFun

Humpty Dumpty Takes On The Sports Illustrated Curse — Guest Post by Jim Fedako

We continue our Thanksgiving week of pleasant stories, today with a guest post by Jim Fedako. “When I use a word,’ Humpty Dumpty said in rather a scornful tone, ‘it…
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What Makes A Casino Gamble Different Than Making A Decision Under Uncertainty?
Posted inPhilosophy

What Makes A Casino Gamble Different Than Making A Decision Under Uncertainty?

We continue with our week of pleasant Thanksgiving topics. A cop in the police procedural Hell Is A City (start around 54 minutes) discerned one of the bad guys he…
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The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
Posted inStatistics

The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis

The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
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What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
Posted inStatistics

What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!

One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…
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The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator
Posted inStatistics

The World’s Best 100% Guaranteed Unpredictable Perfect Random Number Generator

"Random" numbers are in hot demand. They're needed, for instance, in cryptography, to keep things like your bank account secure, and in science, where they're used in simulating complex systems.…
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How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?
Posted inStatistics

How Many Times Must You Shoot To Be 95% Sure Of Hitting Your Target At Least Once?

Why do cops, and home and shop owners, empty their guns when shooting at bad guys? Another way to ask this is our title: How Many Times Must You Shoot…
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The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors
Posted inCulture Statistics

The Vatican’s New Exhortation On “Climate Change” Has Many Errors

The Vatican issued a new Apostolic Exhortation, given in the name of Pope Francis, entitled Laudate Deum. The document is addressed "To all people of good will on the climate…
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    For the past 48 hours, I've been considering a fundamental, structural, problem with marbles; " Marmorism". Some people will accumulate…

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    Marbles was a thing in my primary school in Cambridge, England in the sixties. I don't recall girls ever playing…

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    Somewhere, I have my brother's bag of marbles. I sometimes think I should go through them to see if there…

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    In the summer of 1960, in Fresno, California, I lost my promotional "KYNO Top-Dog Radio" boulder in a game of…

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    Briggs! Have you lost your marbles? (somebody had to say it) When I was a little kid, I was nuts…

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