Posted inPhilosophy
Doom For The Doomsday Argument
Heard of the Doomsday Argument, sometimes also called the Carter Catastrophe? It claims to be able to name the date, with a certain confidence, at which mankind dies off. It…
![“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”](https://i0.wp.com/www.wmbriggs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/nz.webp?fit=700%2C466&ssl=1)
Posted inStatistics
“Why Didn’t Use You The [fill in the blank] Model On That NZ Data, Briggs?”
"Hey, Briggs. I saw your take on the leaked New Zealand vaccine data. Interesting. But why didn't you use [Insert My Favorite Statistics Model Here]?" [Blog, Substack mirror.] I'll tell…
Posted inStatistics
Quick Post Today: New Zealand Vax Data Analysis In Progress: Your Ideas?
I've finished an analysis of the New Zealand vax data. But since tempers are hot on this, and the subject is important, I want to be sure I haven't missed…
Posted inStatistics
Coal Dust Is Claimed To Kill Old People: A New Instance of the Epidemiologist Fallacy
There are a lot of new readers, and many may not yet have heard of the epidemiologist fallacy. Few tools have been as productive at generating The Science. You know…
Posted inFun
Humpty Dumpty Takes On The Sports Illustrated Curse — Guest Post by Jim Fedako
We continue our Thanksgiving week of pleasant stories, today with a guest post by Jim Fedako. “When I use a word,’ Humpty Dumpty said in rather a scornful tone, ‘it…
Posted inPhilosophy
What Makes A Casino Gamble Different Than Making A Decision Under Uncertainty?
We continue with our week of pleasant Thanksgiving topics. A cop in the police procedural Hell Is A City (start around 54 minutes) discerned one of the bad guys he…
Posted inStatistics
The Field Of Statistics Is Doomed — Unless It Abandons Testing & Parameter-Based Analysis
The first part of this article also appears at the Broken Science Initiative. Go there to read it, too, and many other good ones by other authors. We already saw…
Posted inStatistics
What Is a Model of a Model of a Model? “Climate Change”!
One of our main themes is Uncertainty. In short, there is not enough of it, especially in Science. Which is to say, there is a surfeit of certainty. We drown…