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Posted inStatistics

A Note On Mathematical Axioms (With Regard To Sizes Of Infinity)

This isn't easy going, but there's a story out, with a very good write up in Quanta, on mathematical axioms, as they apply to different sizes of infinity. Key paragraph:…
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Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update
Posted inFun

Blog Mechanics: Ideas Solicited On How To Handle Comments: Update

It was remarked the other day that a comment moderation system of some kind should be used here on the blog. The reason is that are some people who come…
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France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX
Posted inStatistics

France Update: VAERS Suggests As Many Kids Dying From Vexxine as Coronadoom; Another Paper Shows Mask Mandates Don’t Work; Being Fat Is Bad; More! — Coronavirus Update LXXIX

FRENCH FARCE https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1414668383316938752 The French nation has descended into Effeminacy. No man may buy or sell with the Mark of the Vex. NEOLOGISM Hyperpole, n: extravagant exaggeration by politicians in…
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How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis
Posted inStatistics

How Predictive Statistics Can Help Alleviate, But Not Eliminate, The Reproducibility Crisis

Predictive statistics can help alleviate the Reproducibility Crisis by, in a word, eliminating p-values. And replacing them with superior measures more useful in quantifing the uncertainty present. Below is some,…
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Solution To The Kind-Hearted Magician — REVEALED!
Posted inStatistics

Solution To The Kind-Hearted Magician — REVEALED!

Kip Hansen last week gave us the following scenario (which I've pared to bare essentials here, but check the original if you fret): START Sam shows us three cards, two…
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Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty
Posted inPhilosophy

Hung Jury: The Verdict On Uncertainty

This invited paper (which I forgot to post!) appeared in the festschrift for Hung T. Nguyen, previously at New Mexico State University and now at Chiang Mai University, to celebrate…
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The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd
Posted inStatistics

The Claim 37% Of Heat Deaths Are Caused By Global Warming Is Absurd

The media has been reporting that 37% "of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change". They gleaned this from the peer-reviewed paper, "The burden of heat-related mortality…
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Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests
Posted inStatistics

Statistics (Philosophy) Quiz: See If You Really Know What You’re Doing Using Tests

This is from Gerd Gigerenzer's "Mindless statistics" in The Journal of Socio-Economics, 33, (2004) 587–606. Have a go before looking at the answers (I'm giving my own, not quoting Gigerenzer).…
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