Search Results for “probability” – Page 67

There Is No Prior? What’s A Bayesian To Do? Relax, There’s No Model, Either

I saw colleague Deborah Mayo casting, or rather trying to cast, aspersions on Bayesian philosophy by saying there is "no prior". Bayesians might not agree, but it's true. Mayo's right.…

Statistics

The Epidemiologist Fallacy Strikes Again: Premature Birth Rate Edition

Hypothesis testing leads to more scientific nonsense than any other practice, including fraud. Hypothesis testing, as regular readers know, cannot identify cause. It conflates decision with probability and leads to…

Class Statistics

Lovely Example of Statistics Gone Bad

The graph above (biggified version here) was touted by Simon Kuestenmacher (who posts many beautiful maps). He said "This plot shows the objects that were found to be 'the most…

Other Practical Books On Par With <em>Uncertainty</em>? Reader Question

Fun Statistics

Other Practical Books On Par With Uncertainty? Reader Question

Got this email from VD. I've edited to remove any personal information and to add blog-standard style and links. I answered, and I remind all readers of the on-going claassre,…

Statistics

Manipulating the Alpha Level Cannot Cure Significance Testing

Nothing can cure significance testing. Except a bullet to the p-value. (That sound you heard was from readers pretending to swoon.) The paper is out and official---and free!: "Manipulating the…

Class Statistics

Choose Predictive Over Parametric Every Time

Gaze and wonder at picture which heads this article, which I lifted from John Haman's nifty R package ciTools. The numbers in the plot are made up whole cloth to…

The Why & Frequency Of Miracles: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part IV

Book review Philosophy

The Why & Frequency Of Miracles: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part IV

Read Part I, II, III. MOTIVE That miracles have supernatural origins is true by definition (see below, in PROBABILITY). Miracles, like all events, must have causes, and cause has motive…

Inference To An Explanation: Shapiro’s <em>The Miracle Myth</em> Reviewed — Part III

Book review Philosophy

Inference To An Explanation: Shapiro’s The Miracle Myth Reviewed — Part III

Read Part I, II. Did Jesus walk on water? Eyewitnesses reported he did. The event was so well remarked that people wrote of it at a time when most events…

Al on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”November 18, 2025
It wasn’t a blunder.
Williis Eschenbach on Why Study Probability?November 18, 2025
John, you seem to be operating under the misunderstanding that I asked you a question or that I care about…
Johnno on Masking Morality With Science: Men Pretending To Be Women In SportsNovember 17, 2025
What is to be done? Accelerate it! Let the transgenders march through all the women's institutions to outcompete and purge…
Johnno on In Which An Atheist Becomes Sputteringly Angry Over Theist’s ArgumentNovember 17, 2025
Well Cary, the problem is that before you see God we are all very certain you are going to spend…
John Pate on Why Study Probability?November 17, 2025
Willis, I'm trying to get you to think differently, not be antagonistic... although my sister says I'm "on the spectrum"…