Search Results for “probability” – Page 8

Possibility Versus Probability & Decision

Philip Pilkington, author of the buyable The Reformation in Economics: A Deconstruction and Reconstruction of Economic Theory, asks a follow-up question to the material on the precautionary principle. If probability…

Class Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part III: Ergodicity & All That

Read Part I, Part II Ergodic in probability has a technical definition. Without going into mathematical details (which are fine except possibly when applied), a "sequence" is defined as a…

Class Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part II: Skin in the Game

Read Part I It is in one sense fortunate that the mathematical, or rather quantitative, roots of probability began with gambling. Routine gambles are easy to understand, and the calculations…

Class Philosophy Statistics

Taleb’s Curious Views On Probability — Part I: I Say Probability Does Not Exist

Ye Olde Statistician points us to an essay (a book chapter?) by our old pal Nassim Nicholas Taleb called "The Logic of Risk Taking". Let's examine it. You, dear reader,…

Philosophy Statistics

Formal Logic And Probability

One of the arguments is that probability does not extend predicate logic, but does extend propositional logic. The concern is that because predicate logic is formal and propositional logic is…

Statistics

Probability Three Points On A Line & Measurement Paradoxes

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wVH4MS6v23U Reader Neil Taylor points us to the video above, which is a jumping point for the larger question (be sure to watch the video first): In [the video] Professor…

Book review Statistics

Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics

William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…

Statistics

Muggings, Nuclear Devices, Probability & Decision

Somehow I ended up on the curious site LessWrong.com, directed by somebody with the nickname Yud (from Eliezer Yudkowsky). Odd isn't in it. Investigating it led me to Reddit and…

Stosh from the Sticks on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
In my (moderately) humble opinion, much of difficulty in dealing with this "transgender" phenomenon is caused by folks conflating a…
C-Marie on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
"...being born wrong” Has anyone asked what being born has to do with one's sexuality??? "A zygote forms when sperm…
Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
Jeff, I used to listen to Dennis Prager quite a bit, and I've heard him condemn pornography at length several…
Cary Cotterman on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
As far back as I can remember, to around late toddlerhood, I was always drawn to girls, even long before…
JerryR on At What Point Does Transsexualism Become A Conservative Value?October 21, 2025
I have a question: what does it mean to be conservative? I always considered conservative to be truth. So what…