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Life Outside Earth:  Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification
Posted inStatistics

Life Outside Earth: Ideas In Our Reenchantment & Rectification

SF writes: I’m reading Benedict XVI’s “In the Beginning” and he said something that has me thinking. According to Monod, there is in the universe not only necessity but also…
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Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 
Posted inStatistics

Prominent Academic Asks: When And How Did Statistics Lose Its Way? 

The question is not mine. It belongs to Philip Stark, who asked it of Deborah Mayo at a Berkeley lecture. Stark plainly asked five good questions: When and how did…
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How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?
Posted inStatistics

How Can You Tell If You Have ESP?

Since this is typically the slowest week of the year---even Christmas is busier---this is a good time to introduce something strange. About twenty years ago I wrote a skeptical (do…
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Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism
Posted inClass

Class 12: Psychic Card Guessing & The Proportional Syllogism

Uncertainty & Probability Theory: The Logic of Science Link to all Classes. Video Links: YouTube Twitter Rumble Bitchute (often a day or so behind, for whatever reason) Link to all…
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Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness
Posted inStatistics

Class 46: Explanation & Abductive Weakness

WARNING! If you're attempting to read this via email and not on the site, you might encounter problems: the text might look like gibberish. The LaTeX interpreter, which I need…
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Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real
Posted inPhilosophy

Reader Question: Probability is not real in the sense that real life things are real

Anon writes: Mr. Briggs, I am trying to understand the statement in the title. It [probability] is a measure of uncertainty. It is a measure of what we know or…
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What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
Posted inStatistics

What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?

If you have trouble viewing this in the email, please click the title and read it on my site. This one was too much fun, so I hope you will…
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Class 31: How Views Diverge With New Evidence
Posted inStatistics

Class 31: How Views Diverge With New Evidence

Is Trump a Russian Asset? (This question accounts for the change in banner image this week.) What happens to belief when people learn new evidence about this curious proposition? Theory…
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  1. C-Marie on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    Well, not sure that I understand all of this, but is the brotherhood of priests referring to Roman Catholic priests…

  2. Cary Cotterman on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    John Galt

  3. Brian (bulaoren) on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    Has anyone else interacted with our medical system lately? I wonder what changed...

  4. Hun on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    The only way to do this reliably is around a religion or occult faith. No religion in its current form…

  5. Hagfish Bagpipe on Let’s Play A Game Of Let’s Suppose!July 2, 2025

    [[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[secret handshake]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]

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