Posted inStatistics
Why Statistics Can’t Discover Cause, And Bad Priors
My mailbag is filling up. Today two questions from readers, both about statistics. Feel free to send yours in on any subject. Tomorrow is a doozy. Question 1 From reader…
Posted inStatistics
There Is No Such Thing As A 1000-Year Flood
Phrases like "100 year rainfalls" or floods or whatever for whatever period of time are awful. They convey an improper idea of uncertainty. The phrase "X year event" is based…
Posted inPhilosophy
Atheists Claim There Is No Such Thing As Gravity—Or Shakespeare!
How's this argument grab you? There are many competing theories of (quantum) gravity. They cannot all be correct. Therefore, they must all be wrong and thus there is no such…
Posted inFun Statistics
Hear Briggs Speak Free on Why You’re Doing Statistics Wrong
Hear Briggs Speak Free! Where by "Free" I mean you pay my expenses. Here are the details. Hear the One And Only William M. Briggs The Statisticians to the Stars!…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Theology of Water—Is Design Intelligent? Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Physicist Bob Kurland gives us a twist on the anthropic principle. "The water that I shall give him will become in him a fountain of living water, welling up into…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Philosophy Of Uncertainty: An Introduction. Complete Preface. Update
Le livre, he is done! I yesterday sent a proposal to a philosophy editor at Cambridge. Not enough equations or pictures in it to pique the interest of the statistics…
Posted inStatistics
Frequenstism Is Entirely Ad Hoc; And So Are Priors. Use The Third Way Instead
https://twitter.com/learnfromerror/status/638841417461276672 Short note today, because today, and most days for the next couple of weeks, are book days. I am nearly finished with the damned thing. I'm now handling drudgery…
Posted inStatistics
Having A Kid Worse Than Divorce Or Death? Wee P-values Say Yes
When I first ascend to Emperor, after throwing into the dungeon any within earshot who cannot speak a full sentence without using 'like', my first act will be to create…