Posted inFun Statistics
Sleeping Beauty Probability Problem
Update This has been moved up from its original 29 Feb 2012 date on 23 March 2012 to allow additional comments. Update This has been moved up from its original…
Posted inStatistics
Risk Analysis And Over Certainty: Classical vs. Bayesian vs. Predictive Statistics
There are two main uses of statistics by civilians, defined as folks who use statistics, who may have even had a class or two in the subject, but who are…
Posted inStatistics
Nate Silver’s Obama Prediction: What Does It Mean?
It was Sophocles who first noted the truism, "No one loves the messenger who brings bad news." But the converse is also true. As it is written (in Romans 10:15),…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Data Is The Data, Not The Model: With Climatology Time Series Example
How not to plot The following plot was sent to me yesterday for comment. I cannot disclose the sender, nor the nature of the data, but neither of these are…
Posted inStatistics
The Curious Case Of Professor Richard Parncutt; Or, Death To Deniers And The Pope!
Austrian professor Richard Parncutt1 has called for folks like me to hunted down and, for his pleasure, shoved into gas chambers. I jest not. He really did say that "influential"…
Posted inFun Statistics
Updates: What’s Happening With Briggs? With the On-line Course? Etc.?
Homefront Things progress on the Briggs ranch---a patch of 900 square feet in the wilds of Upper Eastern Manhattan. They may shortly be progressing away from the island towards...where, nobody…
Posted inStatistics
Lightning May Cause Headaches, Moon May Cause Domestic Intranquility
I have discovered a statistically significant correlation between phases of the moon and domestic harmony. Every day for several months I filled out the Domestic Harmony Inventory (DHI), a scientifically…
Posted inBook review Philosophy Statistics
Logic: Peter Kreeft’s Summa Philosophica Part I
Since we had so much fun pulling apart Ed Feser's The Last Superstition: A Refutation of the New Atheism (start here), I thought we'd do the same for Peter Kreeft's…
