Posted inStatistics
Time Series And Causality: Global Warming Example
Temperature causes Here is an atmospheric monthly average temperature series: T = (61, 69, 69, 70, 72, 65, 63) (all F). What caused the temperature to take the value T1…
Posted inBook review Philosophy
True Reason: Confronting the Irrationality of the New Atheism Reviewed
Answer me honestly. How rational is it to believe any of the following: Science can explain everything, even itself; The reason anything exists is because of the laws of gravity,…
Posted inCulture Statistics
A New Possible Solution Of Fermi’s Paradox
What is the probability the following proposition is true? ``There are rational beings other than humans in the universe." Well, given the evidence of angels, who are rational non-human beings,…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Somebody-Might-Get-Hurt! Fallacy
Word is our beneficent government, which loves us and would not see us fall into harm, is working on a design for a system of chains to anchor both citizens…
Posted inStatistics
On Nate Silver’s Republicans-Take-The-Senate Prediction
Yet the first bringer of unwelcome news Hath but a losing office, and his tongue Sounds ever after as a sullen bell, Remember'd tolling a departing friend. ---Henry IV, part…
Posted inStatistics
Evidence Does Not Support Low Consumption Of Total Saturated Fats
The full version of the headline is this: Current evidence does not clearly support cardiovascular guidelines that encourage high consumption of polyunsaturated fatty acids and low consumption of total saturated…
Posted inStatistics
Pick Your Lotto Numbers With a Greater Chance to Win? Paper From Brazil
The Blaze ran a story with headline "Mathematician Thinks There's a Way to Pick Your Lotto Numbers With a Greater Chance to Win". Turns out Renato Gianella thinks he's discovered…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The One-True-Religion Fallacy. (It’s Not What You Think)
At the end of the eponymous movie, the slave army led by gladiator-cum-general Spartacus (Kirk Dougla) lies defeated before the creator of the First Triumvirate, General Marcus Licinius Crassus (Laurence…