Posted inStatistics
Trend Models & The Inability To Discover Cause
The plot atop this post is one of an observable, the cause of which is known to be related to a variety of physical, chemical, biological, geographical, and even sociological…
Posted inStatistics
You Need To Beat More Than Just The Odds
Note: this is a sketch of a talk I gave yesterday at a conference filled with computer programmers, network and software engineers. This is Las Vegas, the land of magic.…
Posted inStatistics
Real Versus Statistical Control
The ideal experiment is one in which control is exerted over all aspects of an environment. We desire to measure an outcome; for ease suppose this is a simple number.…
Posted inStatistics
The Alternative To Null Hypothesis Significance Testing
This article jumps right in with continuous-valued probability models, which are explained in Uncertainty, as is the subject of this article in great detail. This article is only a rough…
Posted inCulture
Russia’s (Soft) War With The West, Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Let us digress a moment and consider, as Svechin would, just what this word 'action' means to us in our present situation. Let us consider the peculiar nature of the…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Uncertainty Discussed At Vox Popoli
Vox Day kindly reprinted the review of Uncertainty by Jayne at the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons. Vox also has a copy of the book himself and there may…
Posted inBook review Statistics
Mathematical Association of America Reviews Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics
William J. Satzer at the Mathematical Association of America reviewed Uncertainty: The Soul of Modeling, Probability & Statistics. Here it is (ellipsis below original). This is a book about probability…
Posted inCulture Philosophy
Do I Exist?(Does Russia) Part II — Guest Post by Ianto Watt
Read Part I here. So God has already acted. There is no potentiality left in Him, as Aquinas would say. After all, He's already done everything. There's nothing left to…