Search Results for “random chance” – Page 18

Twenty Tips For Interpreting Scientific Claims

Title of today's post is taken from article of the same name in Nature by William Sutherland, David Spiegelhalter, Mark Burgman. Several readers asked me to comment. I'll assume you've…

Statistics

Scientists Claim Homosexual Men Have Different Faces

In the journal that brought you "Is a Woman's Preference for Chest Hair in Men Influenced by Parasite Threat?"1, "Accurate Identification of a Preference for Insertive Versus Receptive Intercourse from…

Philosophy Statistics

Everything Wrong With P-Values Under One Roof

Update 8 January 2019. This post has been superseded! There is an official paper of this material, greatly expanded and vetted. SEE THIS NEW POST. THE NEW PAPER: Here is…

Culture Statistics

Abortion Safety: Doctors V. Nurses & Physician Assistants & Midwives—Part II

Update 4 Too late. 10 October 2013. Update 4 Moved this to top because the bill allowing non-doctors to perform abortions is on Gov. Brown's desk. He'll likely sign, but…

Statistics

Was The UEFA Champions League Draw Rigged?—Bayesian Analysis by Henk Tijms

Henk Tijms, emeritus professor at the Vrije University in Amsterdam, is author of Understanding Probability (excerpt; Amazon at this writing has it for only $31.29, a steal for textbooks). Football…

Philosophy Statistics

Bayes Always Works: An Answer To Senn; Part V

Read Part IV. We're almost done. Only one more after this. There are examples without number of the proper use of Bayes's Theorem: the probability you have cancer given a…

Philosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part III

Following Part II, here are some examples to show the differences between objectivist, subjectivist, and frequentist probabilities derived from fixed premises and set conclusions. Example 1 Not all probability is…

Philosophy Statistics

Subjective Versus Objective Bayes (Versus Frequentism): Part II

Read Part I. What is the probability that "The Detroit Tigers win today's game" (which has not yet been played)? The truth of the proposition (in quotes) is not known…

hudbwu on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 12, 2025
I'll just point out that there is nothing in the Catholic doctrine that prohibits cannibalism. I was quite surprised when…
Johnno on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 11, 2025
The cemeteries??? The hospitals themselves will weigh you and cut you up and auction you off just like the first…
John Pate on Class 74: Contra Effect SizesDecember 11, 2025
The big sticking point for me is that everyone assumes they are sampling from the Normal Distribution for no reason…
Rob JM on On That “Bombshell German Study” That “Exposes the PCR Test Fraud That Locked Down the World”December 11, 2025
What the holy tortured and misinterpreted data Batman! They were comparing apples to blended banana splits and then desperately tried…
John Pate on Academic Argues For Permissibility of Cannibalism, You RacistDecember 10, 2025
When the Indo-Pak agricultural systems collapse, which judging by their skirmishes over water will be in the near future, and/or…