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William M. Briggs

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Posted inFun Philosophy Statistics

Best Statistics Question Ever

Several readers have sent this one in1. One Raymond Johnson (or was it Ryan Grover?) said he found the following picture on this blackboard (I pulled my copy from Flowing…
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Posted inStatistics

D.J. Keenan’s And My BEST Methodology Reviews

Doug Keenan was asked by The Economist to have a gander at the statistics developed by the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project. He did so. We must resist extensive…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

British Judge Rules Against Bayes’s Theorem

A British judge has thrown a use of Bayes's rule out of his court. Not only that, his honor (Lordship?) ruled "against using similar statistical analysis in the courts in…
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Posted inStatistics

Statistical Significance Does Not Mean What You Think. Climate Temperature Trends. Ithaca Teaching Journal, Day 7

There are a subset of professional statisticians---defined as folks who have had formal training in the field given to them by other professionals---who feel that the field of statistics is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Group Differences: An Exceedingly Brief Introduction To Bayesian Predictive Inference

Read the first entry in this series. All of what follows will appear ridiculously obvious to those who have had no statistical training. Those who have must struggle. In a…
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Posted inStatistics

The Statistics Of Racial And Gender Gaps

Suppose we have collected data on some measure deemed important to society. Examples are fireman entrance exams, standardized test scores in mathematics, income, IQ, and so forth. Higher measures are…
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Posted inStatistics

Peter Principle Particulars: Pluchino Paper Perused

Introduction One summary of the Peter Principle, named after psychologist Laurence J. Peters, is that "in a hierarchy every employee tends to rise to their level of incompetence." Three Italian…
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Posted inStatistics

“Climate Calamity” Rejected In Favor Of “Climate Disruption”

President Obama's White House has been hard at work trying to discover another term for global warming. The old phrase was deemed staid and passé, so much so that its…
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  1. Neil Jordan on Class 79: Time Series ExampleFebruary 20, 2026

    Does the passage of time cause ice, or does ice cause the passage of time? Mystical statistical court of appeals…

  2. Johnno on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    But Briggs... we pay people to make decisions on our behalf... Government exists, and it MUST do SOMETHING!!! What are…

  3. Johnno on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    BRIGGS YOU FOOL OF ARTIFICIALITY! Aye Eye exists for one reason and ONE REASON ONLY! To INCREASE Shareholder Value! If…

  4. JH on The Importance Of Not Making DecisionsFebruary 19, 2026

    Maybe you mean “knowledge” instead of “belief.” When my daughter was in ninth grade, I asked her about evidence for…

  5. gareth on AI Is Driving Many Crazy: Our Latest PanicFebruary 19, 2026

    Yes "AI" is just computer models. Better - in the sense of more competent in tasks than before. This does…

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