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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1
Posted inStatistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part X: Verification 1

We are finally at the most crucial part of the modeling process: proving if the damned thing works. Not "works" in the sense that we get good unobservable parameter estimates,…
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Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Researcher In AI Responds To Criticisms

I received this thoughtful, and may I say highly accurate, email from reader EN, which I include in full below. I removed the age and name to protect EN's identity.…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part VIII — Starting Stan

Review! You must at least review the first lessons---all class material is on one page for ease. I'll have more words about the mysticism of simulation, but I've said it…
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How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction
Posted inClass Statistics

How To Do Predictive Statistics: Part I New (Free) Software Introduction

Introduction Here's what we always want, but never get, using the old ways of doing statistics: The probability that some proposition Y is true given certain assumptions. Like this:     …
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New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof
Posted inStatistics

New Paper! Everything Wrong With P-values Under One Roof

Here is a link to the PDF. Briggs, William M., 2019. Everything Wrong with P-Values Under One Roof. In Beyond Traditional Probabilistic Methods in Economics, V Kreinovich, NN Thach, ND…
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Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help
Posted inStatistics

Making P-values Weer To Achieve Significance Won’t Help

Mini-paper out in JAMA by Matt Vassar and pals: "Evaluation of Lowering the P Value Threshold for Statistical Significance From .05 to .005 in Previously Published Randomized Clinical Trials in…
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Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia
Posted inStatistics

Road Rage: Paper Says Living Near Road Causes Dementia

Dust is thrilling researchers these days. Dust, or the more scientific sounding PM2.5, is the next greatest struggle after global warming. We've already seen attempts to prove dust, as measured…
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Black Coffee Drinkers Are Sadistic Psychos: It’s Science!
Posted inStatistics

Black Coffee Drinkers Are Sadistic Psychos: It’s Science!

Headline New study says you might be a psychopath if you like black coffee A new study from the University of Innsbruck in Austria says that people who drink their…
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  1. terry-oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    Dear Briggs iBefore proceeding with your book, i recommend that you read the book entitled 'Foundations of Inductive Reading' the…

  2. Terry oldberg on The Philosophy of Probability and Statistics (Book. Sort Of.)August 1, 2025

    DEAR BRIGGS; YOU SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE FACT THAT tHE PRINCIPLES OF REASONING ARE 'ENTROPY MINIMAX,' AS DESCRIBED BY…

  3. JH on The If I Were God Fallacy & EvolutionAugust 1, 2025

    But... all human expressions about God are generally made under the premise of "if I were God." lol

  4. NLR on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Presumably if the tea and milk are mixed up sufficiently she couldn't tell from the taste or texture. So I'm…

  5. Gespenst on Class 59: The Hardest Hypothesis In The WorldJuly 31, 2025

    Perhaps one can do no better than to say, "Miss Grundworthy was presented with n cups of tea with the…

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