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How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series
Posted inStatistics

How To Discover Any Trend You Want In Climate Time Series

Day five of the week of classical posts on global warming, now "climate change", a subject which I had hoped had faded into obscurity, but, alas, has not. Your author…
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Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification
Posted inStatistics

Class 45: The False Hope Of Falsification

Every scientist loves to say that of theories and models that are falsifiable are "scientific". Alas, this excludes by nature and in practice all models and theories used by scientists.…
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Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch
Posted inStatistics

Experts: The Coronadoom Vax Only Worked If You Got It At Lunch

Nature headline: "Timing matters for COVID vaccine effectiveness: Younger and older people gained greater protection if they had their jabs in the middle of the day." Good joke: "Went from…
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Statistical Challenge: Can You Rate How Good This Study Was?
Posted inStatistics

Statistical Challenge: Can You Rate How Good This Study Was?

I will lose many of you today. But for those up for an intellectual challenge, this post is for you. This will not be easy. Let's play a game. I'm…
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Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis
Posted inStatistics

Critique Of Specification Curve Analysis

Dear reader, this will be a tad difficult, but I urge you to plow through as best you can, because this is becoming "a thing" in some areas. I stripped…
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Time To End Bad Science Like This
Posted inStatistics

Time To End Bad Science Like This

I remind you, yet again, that all models only say what they are told to say. A bland truism. Unless you forget it. Let's now look at two "climate change"…
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Does Watching TV Cause Autism?
Posted inStatistics

Does Watching TV Cause Autism?

This classic column originally ran 31 July 2008. I edited it to provide a working link to the paper and to add the author's Fig. 1. I have no idea,…
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Scientists Induce Apoplexy (In Me) In Attempting To Tie Stroke To “Climate Change”
Posted inStatistics

Scientists Induce Apoplexy (In Me) In Attempting To Tie Stroke To “Climate Change”

In my free and it-don't-cost-nuthin' class notes Breaking the Law of Averages (pdf), I have a homework question which goes something like this: Explain why, no matter the goodness of…
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  1. Johnno on World Ends In 25 years! Towns Become Slaughterhouses! Peter Thiel Disguises Self As Sheep!August 30, 2025

    Well as NLR said, and others have echoed, whenever disaster ultimately comes, it comes to the most advanced places, namely…

  2. Briggs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Willis, The same one you used in setting up the problem. After "millions of throws" (where the manner of the…

  3. Williis Eschenbach on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    As always, William, good stuff. Say that I have a pair of dice. I suspect that they are loaded to…

  4. McChuck on The Right & Wrong Way To Do (Electromagnetic) Science: Interview With Hans G. SchantzAugust 28, 2025

    Briggs & Schantz - With a name like that, you two should go into business making small engines. But seriously,…

  5. Wm Arthurs on Class 63: My Correlation Is Causation Because My P Is WeeAugust 28, 2025

    Throwaway comments made by people who are confused about this sort of thing, gave me a clue to one of…

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