Classic Posts
Featured Articles Why Science Is Broken: Hillsdale Speech Video & Transcript Now Online The Probability Of A Head In A Coin Flip Is 1, Not 1/2 The Great Global Warming—A.K.A.…
Posted inStatistics
Hypothesis Testing Relies On The Fallacy Of False Dichotomy
Classical hypothesis testing is founded on the fallacy of the false dichotomy. The false dichotomy says of two hypotheses that if one hypothesis is false, the other must be true.…
Posted inStatistics
Do Sunspots Shorten Lives By 5.2 years?
This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. I have no idea what the answer to that question is. And I doubt…
Posted inStatistics
Der Spiegel Asks About Global-Warming-Causes-Syrian-Civil-War Paper
That peer-reviewed Colin Kelley et al. paper "Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought", which the traddy media is portraying like Wired did---e.g. How…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
The Biggest Error In Regression
I know, I know: we're sick to death of regression, but we have to cover the biggest error, which is how the Deadly Sin of Reification happens. You have a…
Posted inStatistics
How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update
Read Part I Part II What we're after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there…
Posted inStatistics
Men Who Post ‘Selfies’ Are Psychopathic, Narcissistic. Science Says So!
This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. Far be it for Yours Truly to disagree with a peer-reviewed study. It must…
Posted inStatistics
Regression Isn’t What You Think
We've done regression a hundred times, but it isn't sticking. That means my explanations are failing. Let me try again. Everybody knows normal distributions, i.e. bell-shaped curves: in shorthand N(m,s),…
