Search Results for “temperature” – Page 31

Der Spiegel Asks About Global-Warming-Causes-Syrian-Civil-War Paper

That peer-reviewed Colin Kelley et al. paper "Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought", which the traddy media is portraying like Wired did---e.g. How…

Culture Fun Statistics

For The Love Of Models: A Global Warming Allegory

A very odd thing happened in Science. Turns out a famous weatherman has been forecasting highs in the 60s then 70s for New York City all winter long. But the…

Statistics

Response To Trenberth Over “Why Models Run Hot”

Update Be sure to come back on Sunday and see my wrap-up column. A reporter from Nature who could not be brought to understand science was more important than fallacy…

Statistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part II: Update

Read Part I Part II What we're after is a score that calculates how close a prediction is to its eventual observation when the prediction is a probability. Now there…

Statistics

How Good Is That Model? Scoring Rules For Forecasts: Part I

Part I of III All probability (which is to say, statistical) models have a predictive sense; indeed, they are only really useful in that sense. We don't need models to…

Philosophy

Question Of The Week: Will Religions Try to Convert Superintelligent AI? No

The ever hopeful transhumanist-but-still-human Zoltan Istvan is back asking "When Superintelligent AI Arrives, Will Religions Try to Convert It?" The answer is a qualified no. The qualification? There won't be…

Statistics

Natural Variations In Weather DO NOT Explain The ‘Pause’: Update, With Letter to Nature

You create a model which predicts the sun will rise in the west. The sun fails to cooperate and rises in the east. Do you: Admit failure and return your…

Statistics

That “1-in-27 Million Chance That Earth’s Record Hot Streak Is Natural” Is Preposterous

This post is one that has been restored after the hacking. All original comments were lost. We met a lot of bad statistics over the years, but this one wins…

hudbwu on Why British & EU Rulers Are Juicing War With RussiaDecember 27, 2025
> or whether they are doing this purposely and cynically, It is this, in my opinion. The change with replacement…
hudbwu on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 27, 2025
I hope there's nothing wrong with my browser. But I'm too lazy to look at the HTML to figure out.…
hudbwu on Merry Christmas!December 27, 2025
Happy Christmas! \o/
John Pate on Merry Christmas!December 25, 2025
Bah humbug!
Dave Bagwill on Complete List Of All Moral & Ethical Questions Answered By ScienceDecember 25, 2025
Took me a minute; thought my computer was acting up! Well done, and a Merry Christmas...