Posted inStatistics
We Know The Climate Is Warming Because It Isn’t
What do you call the mental process which allows a man to say "What's firmly established is that the climate is warming" while also holding that "There's been a burst…
Posted inCulture Statistics
The Global Warming Non-Expert Expert
Reporteritis is the disease, or rather psychiatric condition, common among journalists, brought on by exposure to important people and events. The exposure causes the journalist to feel that he too…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Comments On Dawid’s Prequential Probability
Phil Dawid is a brilliant mathematical statistician who introduced (in 1984) the theory of prequential probability1 to describe a new-ish way of doing statistics. We ought to understand this theory.…
Posted inPhilosophy Statistics
Explanation Vs Prediction
Introduction There isn't as much space between explanation and prediction as you'd think; both are had from the same elements of the problem at hand. Here's how it all works.…
Posted inPhilosophy
Philosophic Issues in Cosmology V: What Measurements Tell Us—Guest Post by Bob Kurland
Bob Kurland is a retired, cranky, old physicist, and convert to Catholicism. He shows that there is no contradiction between what science tells us about the world and our Catholic…
Posted inStatistics
What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays 2. Plus Secret Bonus!
Another essay from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest is here! Plus, a special bonus, a treat for all readers! See below! Don't miss it! John Buckner, "Climactic…
Posted inStatistics
What I Have Learned From Global Warming: Contest Winner Essays
Two of the essays from the winners of the Rename Global Warming Contest are in! A big hand from all, please. More are to come---when the winners send them in!…
Posted inStatistics
Lovejoy’s New Attempt To Show We Are Doomed Does Not Convince
We last met Shaun Lovejoy when he claimed that mankind caused global temperatures to increase. At the 99.9% level, of course. He's now saying that the increase which wasn't observed…