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Posted inBook review Statistics

The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Reviewed

People first Just in time for the Federally-Recognized-Holiday-Of-25-December-That-Shall-Go-Unnamed we have a suitable gift for science deniers everywhere. Alex Epstein's The Moral Case For Fossil Fuels Science deniers? Yes, sir. Those…
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Posted inStatistics

Can We Predict The Unpredictable?

The most intriguing thing about the new peer-reviewed paper of the same name as today's post in Nature: Scientific Reports by Abbas Golestani and Robin Gras is that it is…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

Don’t Use Statistics Unless You Have To

We're finally getting it, as evinced by the responses to the article "Netherlands Temperature Controversy: Or, Yet Again, How Not To Do Time Series." Let's return to the Screaming Willies.…
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Posted inFun

Upcoming Probability & Statistics Talks! The Climate, Over-Certainty & More!

Update Classic Posts page link fixed. When & Where I have no idea. As soon as somebody hires me to give them. Since I am out of the system, I…
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Posted inStatistics

Predicting Doom—Guest Post by Thomas Galli

I am not a statistics wizard; an engineer, I value the predictive power of statistics. Indeed, if one can precisely control variables in the design of an experiment, statistics-based prediction…
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Posted inPhilosophy Statistics

On Nate Silver’s Predictions: Which Side Of The Probability Equation Are We On?

When I checked FiveThirtyEight.com's Senate prediction, it said "Republicans have a 72.3% chance of winning a majority." There were also words that the "probability that each party will win control…
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Posted inStatistics

Paper Claims Surprisingly Strong Link Between Climate Change And Violence. Nonsense.

When does more crime happen, in winter or summer? Why? Too easy. How about this one: according to the FBI, what was the violent crime rate over time? No need…
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Posted inCulture Statistics

Humanae Vitae & The Sexual Revolution: Theories And Predictions

This corrected post originally ran 14 May 2014. But given rumblings in the Church, that it is Lent, and the importance of the message to all of us, it is…
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  1. John Pate on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026

    Until we get back to burning heretics at the stake I don't see any solution to this kind of behaviour.

  2. John Pate on Lady Academics Tire Of Being Judged By Peer ReviewSeptember 24, 2026

    Private companies still run enormous R&D labs but they're funded by black budget "defence" appropriations doing the Devil's work. They…

  3. Cary Cotterman on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026

    Brosch and his ilk don't know squat about "scientific facts". They deal in pseudoscientific nonsense.

  4. McChuck on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 24, 2026

    I refuse, on general principles, to use the Left's Newspeak. She is a whore, or prostitute if we're being polite.…

  5. Tars Tarkas on Whoring For Climate ChangeSeptember 23, 2026

    "And who better to help relay the urgency of climate change than sex workers? “ I hate the widespread use…

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